Growth Stock Wire Investment Newsletter

 
Growth Stock Wire Investment Newsletter About Growth Stock Wire Frequently Asked Questions Growth Stock Wire Archives Contact Us Privacy Policy
Print Edition | Sponsored Link:

The China Bubble Is Ready
to Pop
By Jeff Clark
January 7, 2010

The Chinese growth miracle is hogwash.

At least, that's the opinion of famed short seller Jim Chanos – who is most noted for uncovering the fundamental flaws with Enron. In a recent report put out by his hedge fund, Chanos compared the credit expansion in China to the U.S. subprime market and the housing boom before they went bust.

"It's Dubai times 1,000," he says.

Forbes has also joined the "bearish on China" party... A recent article points to "a speculative frenzy of borrowing" and "government bureaucracies foisting debt on state-owned business enterprises."

Nothing says "bubble" like a rapidly increasing pile of debt. And right now, there is no bigger credit excess than the Chinese market.

The Chinese stock market is a balloon looking for a pin. By the look of the following chart, it may be close to finding it...


The Shanghai Stock Exchange peaked in August and quickly fell 20% the next month. It has bounced higher since then, spending most of the past two months confined to a rather tight trading range. The blue lines on the chart show the support and resistance levels.

The red lines show a bigger picture and a much more powerful consolidating-triangle pattern. When a chart breaks up or down out of a consolidating-triangle pattern, the potential move is equal to the height of the triangle itself. On this chart, the top of the triangle is just above 3,400 and the bottom is at about 2,700. So the Shanghai stock market is poised to make an explosive move one way or the other.


 
Related Articles
The Nine Chinese Men Who Control the Fate of America
Asia Is Going to Make Investors Rich with This Commodity
 
Based on the negative divergence on the MACD, a momentum indicator we've discussed many times in Growth Stock Wire, the odds favor break to the downside.

Given that the chart is bouncing up into its resistance line, now seems like as good a time as any to sell China short. There's the potential for a huge move here. And if Jim Chanos and Forbes are right, there's a lot of money to be made as the China bubble pops.

Best regards and good trading,

Jeff Clark

P.S. I know many of you still aren't convinced the Chinese bubble is about to pop. That's why I've recently found a trade that will make my Advanced Income subscribers big gains even if I'm wrong. You don't often get a chance like this. To learn more, click here.

A simple stock strategy that will put you far above the average investor
The least crowded area in the stock market.

The 10 states on the verge of fiscal crisis
Service cuts, layoffs, and increased taxes are unavoidable...

This stock index sells for just FIVE times cash flow
Possibly the cheapest stocks on Earth...


Mega building materials suppliers Valspar and Fastenal hit fresh highs.
Fertilizer producers surge... Mosaic, Agrium, Terra, and CF Industries make new highs.
New highs for medical device makers Medtronic, Varian, Stryker, and Zimmer.
Earnings today... Apollo Group, Constellation Brands, Lennar.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1126.48 +0.53% +30.17%
Oil (USO) 38.20 +1.22% -31.63%
Gold (GLD) 108.36 +1.70% +29.83%
Silver (SLV) 17.17 +2.14% +67.02%
U.S. Dollar 77.61 -0.38% -4.15%
Euro
1.44
+0.55%
+2.50%
VIX 19.47 -1.22% -55.96%
HUI 438.37 +0.39% +58.85%
10-Year Yield 3.81% 0.06 2.84

Advertisement

Company Sym Industry

CF Industries

CF

fertilizer

BHP Billiton

BHP

mining

Kraft

KFT

food products

Valspar

VAL

building materials

Fastenal

FAST

building materials

Vale

VALE

steel

Medtronic

MDT

medical devices

AMBEV

ABV

beer

Wipro

WIT

outsourcing

Dow Chemical

DOW

chemicals

3M

MMM

conglomerate

Varian Medical

VAR

medical devices

Zimmer Holdings

ZMH

medical devices

Mosaic

MOS

fertilizer

Halliburton

HAL

oil services

CNOOC

CEO

oil & gas drilling

BNSF

BNI

railroads

Ford

F

autos

Boeing

BA

aerospace

Stryker

SYK

medical devices

Terra Industries

TRA

fertilizer

Rio Tinto

RTP

steel

News Corp

NWSA

entertainment

AFLAC

AFL

insurance

Total

TOT

Big Oil

Agrium

AGU

fertilizer

WellPoint

WLP

health insurance

Union Pacific

UNP

railroads

QUALCOMM

QCOM

semiconductors

Intuitive Surgical

ISRG

medical devices

Chevron

CVX

Big Oil

Company Sym Industry

Integ Electrical

IESC 

general contractor 

Commodity Q&A: The Best Shot for Triple-Digit Gains in Natural Gas
January 6, 2010

The Euro Is Going on Sale

January 5, 2010

A Major Uptrend Is Just Getting Started in This Hated Asset

January 4, 2010

Why I Watch CNBC

December 31, 2009

Commodity Q&A: A 20-Year Energy Investment Strategy
December 30, 2009

Home | About GSW | FAQ | GSW Archive | Privacy Policy | Contact Us

Customer Service: 1-888-261-2693 – Copyright 2010 Stansberry & Associates Investment Research. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This e-letter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Stansberry & Associates Investment Research, LLC. 1217 Saint Paul Street, Baltimore MD 21202