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Buy Refiners This Morning and Make Huge Gains By Lunch
By Jeff Clark

September 4, 2008

In the midst of a general market meltdown, one sector looks ready to pop higher.

It's the refiners.

I first mentioned the refining stocks on July 29. Since then, Frontier (FTO) is up 8%, Valero (VLO) has gained 9%, Tesoro (TSO) is up more than 24%, and Alon USA (ALJ) is up more than 50%.

This is just the beginning.

Refining charts look better than any other sector right now. Just take a look at this chart of Tesoro...

This is a perfect example of an ascending-triangle pattern. It's a series of higher lows followed by rallies that continuously bump up against the same resistance level. More often than not with this pattern, resistance gives way and the stock bolts higher.

I'm betting that will happen with the refining stocks. And I'm betting it will happen as soon as today.

You see, the weekly gasoline inventory results will be released today at 10:30 a.m. Eastern time. For the past three weeks, gasoline inventories have declined more than expected. And in each case, the refining stocks rallied.

I expect we'll see the same type of action today.

The Best Sector to Buy Today... Maybe

A Six-Month Trade for 40%

Admittedly, I've been bullish on refining stocks for the past few months. And we haven't seen much upside progress. But this sector is all but given up for dead, and no one is talking about its improving technicals and fundamentals.

There isn't any other sector that appears more poised for a rally. And I'll bet six months from now, you'll be slapping you're forehead and saying, "I can't believe I had the opportunity to buy those stocks at those prices."

The refining sector offers the best risk/reward setup of any sector I follow right now. You'll do well to consider an investment in one of the refiners.

Best regards and good trading,

Jeff Clark

Wal-Mart, Tiffany Want Green Gold
The Bingham Canyon open-pit mine is the biggest hole dug by man anywhere in the world – about 2 1/2 miles long and nearly a mile deep, according to its owner, Kennecott Utah Copper. Miners have been digging copper, silver, and gold out of Bingham Canyon, just outside Salt Lake City, since 1906.

It's the gold that Pam Mortensen has come here to see. Mortensen, 52, is in charge of buying fine jewelry for Wal-Mart. And recently she has moved the world's largest retailer to the forefront of a loose alliance of businesses and environmental groups that have set out to clean up gold mining, one of the world's dirtiest industries. Read on...

Luxury Brands Turn to Yachts
The widening gulf between the haves and the have-yachts has prompted LVMH, the world's biggest luxury goods group, headed by Bernard Arnault, to enter an exclusive agreement to buy Royal van Lent, the Dutch builder of Feadship customised motoryachts, which measure 50m or more.

Last week, Hermès, the privately owned luxury goods company, said it had formed a joint venture with Wally, the Monaco-based yachtmaker, "to conceive and develop innovative projects".
FT ($) Read on...


A few regional banks survive the storm... Hancock Holding, First Financial, S.Y. Bancorp, IberiaBank, ESSA Bancorp, and Suffolk Bancorp at new highs.

H&R Block finds a new high... the tax-prep behemoth is up 40% this year.

World's largest gold miner Barrick Gold hits 52-week low.

Construction giants Foster Wheeler and McDermott at new lows.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500

1272.71

-0.38%

-14.55%

Oil (USO)

88.44

-0.84%

+55.84%

Gold (GLD)

78.82

-0.48%

+16.87%

Silver (SLV)

12.77

-1.33%

+4.76%

U.S. Dollar

78.03

-0.07%

-3.54%

Euro
1.45
-0.08%
+6.62%
VIX

21.68

+1.41%

-4.83%

HUI

309.57

-4.71%

-7.96%

10-Year Yield

3.70%

-0.05

-0.7

Company Sym Industry

Hancock Holding

HBHC

bank

Medivation

MDVN

biotech

Buckle

BKE

clothing

Suffolk Bancorp

SUBK

bank

Rock-Tenn

RKT

paper products

H&R Block

HRB

taxes

Safeco

SAF

insurance

Piedmont Nat Gas

PNY

utilities

Bruker

BRKR

medical equipment

Luminex

LMNX

medical equipment

S.Y. Bancorp

SYBT

bank

Heckmann

HEK

holding company

Steven Madden

SHOO

shoes

Volcano Corp

VOLC

medical equipment

IberiaBank

IBKC

bank

ESSA Bancorp

ESSA

bank

Sanders Morris

SMHG

asset management

First Financial

THFF

bank

Advertisement

Company Sym Industry

McDermott

MDR

construction

iShares Taiwan

EWT

ETF

Akamai

AKAM

technology

Diamond Offshore

DO

oil drilling

Nokia

NOK

telecom

iShares U.K.

EWU

ETF

Barrick Gold

ABX

gold

CS British Pound

FXB

ETF

Trico Marine

TRMA

oil services

Newmont Mining

NEM

gold

China Telecom

CHA

telecom

Anglo American

AAUK

mining

iPath Gas

GAZ

ETF

McClatchy

MNI

newspapers

iShares Thailand

THD

ETF

Novo Nordisk

NVO

Big Pharma

iShares Malaysia

EWM

ETF

Singapore Fund

SGF

Singapore stocks

China Mobile

CHL

telecom

Posco

PKX

steel

Corning

GLW

technology

Total

TOT

Big Oil

Aracruz Celulose

ARA

paper products

Foster Wheeler

FWLT

construction

China Unicom

CHU

telecom

Hercules Offshore

HERO

oil drilling

KT Corp

KTC

telecom

Macquarie Inf

MIC

infrastructure

Nucor

NUE

steel

Shaw Group

SGR

waste management

TDK

TDK

electronics

Unilever

UL

consumer goods

Petro-Canada

PCZ

oil & gas

Bunge

BG

agriculture

MV Gold Miners

GDX

ETF

 

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