Why One of America's Best Traders is Ready to Buy
By Brian Heyliger, editor, Inside Strategist
November 24, 2008
Last month, I watched Mark Cook make $1 million in one day.
Mark is an interesting guy... and an incredible trader. He's a world away from Wall Street. In fact, he doesn't even set foot on the Street. He manages his own trading account and doesn't manage money for other people. He prefers overalls to pinstriped suites.
Last month, I spent four days at Mark's Ohio home with a few other traders from around the world. We were all there to get a little advice from one of the greatest trading minds in America.
Mark became famous after his interview in the book Stock Market Wizards – the latest in a trilogy of interviews with America's top traders. Besides winning numerous investing championships, Mark's annual returns have ranged between 30% and 1,422% since the 1980s.
I couldn't wait to hear what Mark had to say about the market today (especially after seeing him make a huge amount of money in a quick futures trade). Mark is very bullish right now...
"I called my mother and said, 'Mom, get the money out of the mattress. We're buying stocks.'"
Mark's proprietary indicator – the Cook Cumulative Tick (CCT) – is his pet for calling market tops and bottoms. He never reveals the specifics of his indicator, but it's an outstanding tool that shows whether the market is overbought or oversold. Right now, Mark says, "it's the most oversold in its history."
The last time his CCT came close to current levels was the market bottom in 2003. "Anytime my CCT gets this oversold, I will buy... evvvery time." With the S&P 500 down 49% this year, stocks are badly oversold. According to Mark, we're setting up for the "biggest buying opportunity of your lifetime."
I agree. I think we're close to at least a tradable short-term bottom... and possibly a long-term bottom. As I mentioned earlier this month, the insider-buying ratio (IBR) – my own ratio of insider buying and selling – is also at an extreme. It hit 62% last week... I've never seen it this high. Insiders are bullish.
But before putting any more chips on the table, I want to see the S&P show a little strength... I want to see the market say, "The madness is over." For my money, this requires a rally above the 850 level of the S&P 500.

As you can see, the market bobbed around 850 during the October lows. If the S&P makes it back up to this level, it's a sign the selling pressure has been exhausted.
Bottom line: When someone as smart as Mark Cook is getting bullish... and when corporate insiders are major buyers of their own shares, it's time to start considering doing the same.
Good trading,
Brian Heyliger
P.S. I learned a lot from Mark. He's a no-nonsense guy who really knows how to trade for a living. You can learn more about his seminars and trading style by visiting his website here. |
The New Toxic: Office Buildings, Malls
Another levee in the financial markets is crumbling.
Fears about rising default rates and declining property values, which engulfed the home mortgage market at the start of the credit crisis, are spreading to the commercial real estate market, hammering the value of bonds backed by loans made to office buildings, shopping centers and apartment complexes. Read on...
Deflation Smacks Farmers
When the price of wheat, corn, soybeans and just about every other food grown in the ground began leaping skyward two years ago, farmers were pleased, of course. But generally they refused to believe that the good times would be permanent. They had seen too many booms that were inevitably followed by busts.
Now, with the suddenness of a hailstorm flattening a field, hard times are back on the American farmstead. The price paid for crops is dropping much faster than the cost of growing them. Read on... |
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Gold pops 7%... peaks above $800. |
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Rising defaults haunt credit-card companies... MasterCard, American Express, and Capital One at 52-week lows.
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"Recession-proof" health care stocks tumble... WellPoint, CIGNA, Humana, and Aetna hit new lows. |
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Earnings today... Campbell Soup, Hewlett-Packard.
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Last |
Change |
52-Wk |
| S&P 500 |
806.58 |
-6.12% |
-43.98% |
| Oil (USO) |
43.26 |
-3.37% |
-44.07% |
| Gold (GLD) |
72.26 |
-0.34% |
-9.07% |
| Silver (SLV) |
9.10 |
-4.01% |
-37.93% |
| U.S. Dollar |
87.60 |
-0.08% |
+16.74% |
| Euro |
1.26 |
+0.24% |
-15.50% |
| VIX |
74.26 |
+9.79% |
+198.47% |
| HUI |
168.80 |
-5.31% |
-59.73% |
| 10-Year Yield |
3.39% |
-0.14 |
-0.55 |
|
| Company |
Sym |
Industry |
Churchill Ventures |
CHV |
holding company |
ImClone |
IMCL |
biotech |
|
| Company |
Sym |
Industry |
Merrill Lynch |
MER |
bank |
Luxottica |
LUX |
eyeglasses |
Hillenbrand |
HI |
funeral services |
JPMorgan |
JPM |
bank |
IBM |
IBM |
technology |
Nordstrom |
JWN |
dept store |
KB Home |
KBH |
homebuilder |
GlaxoSmithKline |
GSK |
Big Pharma |
Jones Lang LaSalle |
JLL |
real estate |
Aetna |
AET |
health care |
Hanesbrands |
HBI |
clothing |
CBS |
CBS |
media |
Fluor |
FLR |
construction |
Corning |
GLW |
technology |
AllianceBernstein |
AB |
asset mgmt |
Hershey |
HSY |
chocolate |
Bank of America |
BAC |
bank |
Rockwell Collins |
COL |
aerospace |
American Tower |
AMT |
cell towers |
H.J. Heinz |
HNZ |
food products |
Boston Properties |
BXP |
commercial REIT |
Capital One |
COF |
credit cards |
American Eagle |
AEO |
clothing |
Dell |
DELL |
computers |
ConAgra |
CAG |
food products |
Eastman Kodak |
EK |
photo equipment |
Coach |
COH |
luxury goods |
Chipotle |
CMG |
restaurants |
Boeing |
BA |
aerospace |
Cisco |
CSCO |
networks |
Diageo |
DEO |
booze |
Best Buy |
BBY |
electronics |
TD Ameritrade |
AMTD |
bank |
CB Richard Ellis |
CBG |
real estate |
Simon Property |
SPG |
mall REIT |
WellPoint |
WLP |
health care |
Google |
GOOG |
search engine |
Baxter |
BAX |
medical equip |
Costco |
COST |
wholesale club |
Ab & Fitch |
ANF |
clothing |
Sysco |
SYY |
food products |
BlackRock |
BLK |
asset mgmt |
Covidien |
COV |
medical equip |
Bed Bath & Beyond |
BBBY |
home supplies |
Vornado Realty |
VNO |
commercial REIT |
Cemex |
CX |
cement |
Citigroup |
C |
bank |
SL Green |
SLG |
commercial REIT |
eBay |
EBAY |
online auctions |
CIGNA |
CI |
health care |
Humana |
HUM |
health care |
Atlas Pipeline |
APL |
oil & gas pipeline |
Blackstone Group |
BX |
private equity |
Sotheby's |
BID |
auctioneer |
D.R. Horton |
DHI |
homebuilder |
American Express |
AXP |
credit cards |
Merck |
MRK |
Big Pharma |
Las Vegas Sands |
LVS |
casinos |
Monsanto |
MON |
agriculture |
Burlington Northern |
BNI |
railroad |
New York Times |
NYT |
newspapers |
AstraZeneca |
AZN |
Big Pharma |
Eli Lilly |
LLY |
Big Pharma |
Chicago Bridge |
CBI |
construction |
Transocean |
RIG |
oil drilling |
AutoZone |
AZO |
auto parts |
Boston Beer |
SAM |
beer |
MasterCard |
MA |
credit cards |
T. Rowe Price |
TROW |
asset mgmt |
|
 |
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