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If You're an Income Investor, You Have to See This Chart...
By Brian Heyliger, editor, Inside Strategist
November 3, 2008

A couple years from now, after the sector has climbed 50% and thrown off 20% in income payments, investors will kick themselves for not listening to insiders... for not buying MLPs.

The term MLP is short for "master limited partnership." These corporations have a special page in the IRS tax code that says they can avoid corporate taxes if they pass most of their earnings to investors... which means big cash distributions to MLP shareholders.

Why the special tax treatment? Well, you'll find most MLPs are in the energy business. Some are coal companies. Some are oil and gas producers. But most MLPs are pipeline companies – companies that move energy from place to place. The U.S. government wants to encourage investment in our all-important energy grid.

But investors in these stocks haven't received much encouragement this year...

In June 2007, the Alerian MLP Index was enjoying a big five-year uptrend. But it got ahead of itself. Prices were high relative to the income payments they were throwing off. Back then, it offered an all-time low yield of 5.54%. But the index followed the rest of the market, suffering a 56% decline over the next 16 months.

As with all income investments, when the share price falls, the yield rises. And with the index cut in half, the yield has doubled. Today, the Alerian MLP index is yielding 10.1%. It's among the highest yields I've ever seen on this index... It's around the same yield you could've collected in 1999, just before the index tripled.

But you'll see the most amazing thing about these assets in the chart below. It's the "spread" between the yield you can earn in risk-free government bonds versus the yield you can earn in MLPs. The difference is extraordinary...

MLP Yield Premium over Treasuries

Right now, government bonds are yielding less than 4%. The MLP index yields two and a half times as much.

This Income Investment Is So Good, It Shouldn't Exist

How to Get 75% Returns from a Dividend Squeeze

This chart is important because U.S. government bonds are the world's standard for income. Income investments compete against each other on a yield basis to attract investor money. So when looking at two different income investments, it's helpful to compare the yield of a potential investment to U.S. bonds. Against this measure, MLPs haven't looked better in more than 16 years.

I think that's why corporate insiders in the MLP business are now frequent buyers of their own shares. They realize these stocks are extremely attractive to investors. Here is a list of MLPs with the largest insider buying the past 90 days:

Company

Ticker

3-Month Buy

TEPPCO Partners

TPP

$7.7M

NuStar GP Holdings

NSH

$7.2M

Energy Transfer Equity

ETE

$5.3M

NuStar Energy

NS

$4.9M

Duncan Energy Partners

DEP

$3.0M

If you're a yield-seeker, we have a multi-decade opportunity today in MLPs... It's time to buy. You can earn 10% a year in dividends while you wait for the crowd to come in and push up the value of your shares. Don't let the opportunity pass you by.

As I said, a lot of folks will be kicking themselves for not buying high-yielding MLPs right now. Don't be one of them.


Good investing,

Brian

More Homeowners Underwater on Mortgage
Almost 20 percent of U.S. mortgage borrowers owed more on their loans in the third quarter than their house was worth as foreclosures depressed prices and the economy weakened, according to First American CoreLogic.

More than 7.5 million properties already have negative equity and another 2.1 million will follow should home prices decline another 5 percent, Santa Ana, California-based First American, a seller of economic and real estate data, said in a report today. Six states account for almost 60 percent of homes with negative equity, led by Nevada and Michigan. Read on...


AIG Borrows Government Funds... Again

American International Group has found another place to borrow billions of dollars from the government: the Federal Reserve's commercial paper program.

The distressed insurance company disclosed Thursday afternoon that it was borrowing up to $20.9 billion from the Fed's program, under which the central bank is buying companies' short-term debt in an effort to unfreeze the market for commercial paper. Read on...


Gold stocks rallying... up 25% last week.
Some medical stocks hold their ground... Almost Family, Cubist Pharma, LHC Group, and PetMed Express at 52-week highs.
Consumers cut travel costs... Expedia and Carnival Corporation hit new lows.

Earnings today... Comstock Resources, DryShips, MasterCard, StatoilHydro, Viacom.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500

974.38

+2.13%

-35.40%

Oil (USO)

53.28

-1.33%

-26.17%

Gold (GLD)

71.04

-2.30%

-8.84%

Silver (SLV)

9.72

+0.41%

-30.59%

U.S. Dollar

85.78

+1.14%

+11.88%

Euro
1.27
-1.42%
-11.75%
VIX

57.81

-8.09%

+149.07%

HUI

199.59

-1.52%

-52.72%

10-Year Yield

3.96%

0.02

-0.36

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Company Sym Industry

Almost Family

AFAM

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Cubist Pharma

CBST

pharma

99 Cents Stores

NDN

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LHC Group

LHCG

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AeroVironment

AVAV

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PetMed Express

PETS

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Company Sym Industry

Modine Manuf

MOD

auto parts

Doral Financial

DRL

mortgages

BT Group

BT

telecom

Prudential

PRU

insurance

Humana

HUM

health care

Expedia

EXPE

online travel

Carnival Corp

CCL

cruises

Seagate Technology

STX

hard drives

Morningstar

MORN

invest research

Electronic Arts

ERTS

video games

Bare Escentuals

BARE

makeup

Health Net

HNT

health care

A.C. Moore

ACMR

arts & crafts

Eastman Kodak

EK

photo equipment

Weekend Edition: You Literally Can't Afford to Wait
November 1, 2008

The Cheapest Way to Buy Big Growth
October 31, 2008

The Dollar Is Toast
October 30, 2008

Commodity Q&A: Are These Energy Dividends Safe?
October 29, 2008

Somebody Has to Sell at the Bottom
October 28, 2008

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