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Monday May 5, 2008

Why Global Steel Demand Is Increasing Your Energy Bill
By Ian Davis

The latest news coming from local electricity companies is a lot like a kick in the teeth for most people... after they've been knocked to the ground.

Last week the Associated Press reported, "Utilities nationwide are raising rates and are likely to push for even more dramatic increases in electric rates in the coming months."

Americans are already strapped for cash due to rising gas and food prices and a sinking real estate market. So why's electricity joining the scrum?

Well, a large part of the blame lies with steel... As I wrote last week, steel prices worldwide are skyrocketing. This week, we're going to look at one of the ramifications of soaring steel prices... soaring coal prices.

Coking coal is the type of coal used in steelmaking. Demand from steelmakers is driving prices higher. In fact, many steelmakers, including the world's second-largest producer (Nippon Steel), recently agreed to pay triple what they previously paid for coking coal.

Take a look at the following chart of coal prices since 1996...

The Global Insight coal index doesn't contain any U.S. coal – it's 60% South African, 30% Colombian, and 10% Australian. But the market for coal, like oil, is global. When the price of foreign coal spikes, the U.S. exports more of its coal... resulting in higher U.S. prices.

So the steel rally has swept coal along with it. But coal prices have not yet gone parabolic like steel prices. Does that mean coal is a good buy for people who are bullish on steel?

Trend followers might find coal attractive. But there's no easy way to bet on the price of coal except through coal stocks... And coal stocks are expensive right now.

Take a look at the following chart...

Coal Stocks are Expensive

Investors are excited about the coal industry and have bid up the price of coal producers in relation to the price of coal. And any falter in the growth rate of coal prices could lead to a sharp drop in these stocks. So here's how to play the coal boom...

These Commodity Producers Could Plummet Soon

The Old Dump and Load Routine

Wait for just such a pullback before buying your favorite coal stock. A few of the big names are Peabody (BTU), Consol (CNX), Massey (MEE), and Arch (ACI). Or you can buy a basket of coal producers with the Market Vectors Coal ETF (KOL).

Coal produces about half of all the electricity generated in the U.S. With coal prices soaring, it's likely you'll feel the effects of soaring coal prices in your electricity bill... But if you buy coal producers at the right prices, you should see some profit, too.

Good investing,

Ian Davis

Potential Water Crisis in California
California communities face a strong possibility of water shortages and even mandatory rationing this summer because of record dry weather in March and April, a fast-shrinking snowpack and below-normal reservoir levels, state officials said Thursday.

The bleak news, contained in California's final Sierra snowpack report of the snow season, means a second consecutive year of water anxieties in a state heavily dependent on water from the melting snow in the Sierra Nevada.

"I have not seen a more serious water situation in my career, and I've been doing this 30 years," said Timothy Quinn, executive director of the Assn. of California Water Agencies. Read on...

Jose Canseco Gets Foreclosed On
Mr. Canseco, 43, who retired in 2001, told the celebrity TV show "Inside Edition" that it did not make financial sense to keep his 7,300 square-foot home in the Los Angeles suburb of Encino. "Inside Edition" said it had foreclosure documents showing Canseco owed a bank more than $2.5 million on the house, Reuters reports.

"I do have a judgment on my home and it to me is very strange because it didn't make financial sense for me to keep paying a mortgage on a home that was basically owned by someone else," he said. Read on...


The Brazilian momentum trade is on... nearly all NYSE-traded Brazilian shares sitting at all-time highs.
The U.S. transport trade is on... nearly all railroads and truckers at 52-week highs. Bullish vote for U.S. economy.

Eastern Europeans are still drinking... huge vodka producer Central European Distribution at all-time high.

Big day for gold shares: Mining giant Goldcorp releases earnings today.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1408.37 -0.07% -6.26%
Oil (USO) 93.73 3.71% 90.20%
Silver (SLV) 162.37 1.52% 21.93%
US Dollar 73.67 0.22% 10.12%
Euro 1.542 -0.18% 13.84%
VIX 18.81 -0.37% 43.70%
HUI 401.46 1.80% 16.30%
10-year yield 3.83% 0.08 -0.85

3 Months From Today...

The skies of Western Canada will be swarming with executive jets and news helicopters. Why?

Well, part of the story was told on a recent episode of "60 Minutes." What the television show didn't tell you, however, is how to make an absolute fortune from this media circus over the next few months.

To read the full story, click here...

Company Sym Industry

Sadia

SDA

Brazilian food

Hasbro

HAS

toys

Central European

CEDC

booze

Amedisys

AMED

health care

Gafisa

GFA

homebuilder

Northwest Pipe

NWPX

water pipes

Chiquita

CQB

food

Flowers Food

FLO

food

Corning

GLW

fiber

Ventas

VTR

health REIT

Kansas City So

KSU

railroads

MasterCard

MA

credit cards

Burlington North

BNI

railroads

Ryder Systems

R

moving

Union Pacific

UNP

railroads

Sohu

SOHU

Chinese Internet

Arkansas Best

ABFS

trucking

Statoil Hydro

STO

Big Oil

Urban Outfitters

URBN

clothing

Bancolumbia

CIB

Columbian bank

Coinstar

CSTR

coin counters

Vivo

VIV

Brazilian telecom

CH Robinson

CHRW

trucking

JB Hunt

JBHT

trucking

Otter Tail

OTTR

utility

Tetra Tech

TTEK

water

Matsushita

MC

electronics

iShares Brazil

EWZ

Brazil ETF

Aracruz

ARA

Brazilian pulp

Frontline

FRO

shipping

"America's New Currency" Could Make 425% gains in 2008

4 U.S. depository banks are now issuing a "New Currency" to a select group of Americans.

Backed by real assets around the globe, this unique investment has generated gains as high as 750% over the last 18 months, while stocks have plummeted.

Click here for full report.

Company Sym Industry

Palomar Medical

PMTI

hair removal

Investools

SWIM

investor edu

UltraShort China

FXP

short China ETF

UltraShort Em Mkt

EEV

short EM ETF

National Interstate

NATL

insurance

Sun Micro

JAVA

computers

Weekend Edition: Our Coming War with Canada
May 3, 2008

How to Play the Weak Dollar for 84% Overnight Profits
May 2, 2008

Two Trades: The Next Moves for Oil and Gold
May 1, 2008

Commodity Q&A: Why Are We Paying So Much for Oil?
April 30, 2008

This May Be the Perfect Investment System
April 29, 2008

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