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A New "Superbug" Test... Just in Time
By Rob Fannon, editor, Medical Investor
January 18, 2008

Becton Dickinson just won the superbug race.

Two weeks ago, the FDA approved Becton Dickinson's two-hour diagnostic test for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, also known as the MRSA "superbug." The approval makes BD the first company to offer a product in the diagnostics market's next big growth segment – hospital acquired infections.

As we covered in the July 27 issue of Growth Stock Wire, the superbug is a hardy bacterium that can wreak havoc in hospitals and other medical settings. It can live on surfaces for up to a few weeks or lie dormant in infected patients without signs or symptoms. MRSA infections can be fatal, and treatment runs about $40,000 for those patients that do survive.

With estimated costs of $30 billion annually and 90,000 deaths per year, hospitals have a big incentive to stop infections at the door... and fast. Just yesterday, researchers reported the disturbing emergence of a rogue strain of MRSA called USA300 – it's one of the most drug-resistant bacterial strains ever discovered.     

BD's superbug test shortens the current two-day wait for results to 120 minutes. It will transform the way hospitals identify and track infections, preventing unnecessary deaths and saving millions of dollars.

As I predicted last summer, BD's new superbug test has meant a windfall for its shareholders. BD stock reached an all-time high of $92 this week, making it one of the top 10 performers in the S&P 500 this year.

So far, Medical Investor readers are up more than 25% on the medical-supply giant.

Expect more of the same from BD in 2008... even with an economic slowdown in the U.S. More than 50% of the company's revenue comes from international markets. And BD's U.S. sales won't suffer from any pullback in consumer spending. There's no safer place to be invested in rough economic times than health care...

The Medical Investor portfolio is up an average of 10% over an average holding period of less than six months. How'd we do it? By taking advantage of the companies best positioned to rake in cash from the $2.4 trillion U.S. health care system. We're capitalizing on the biggest trends in medicine:

The pending onslaught of generic drugs.
Big Pharma's search for cheaper and more efficient research and development work.
Aging baby-boomers, who are demanding personalized medicine.
Health care real estate companies that pay out recession-proof, inflation-proof dividends.
Companies that sell and distribute the health care industry's "picks and shovels" – medical, surgical, and drug supplies.

By sticking to The Medical Investor's central tenet – buying good businesses at the right price – we've produced steady returns in a rocky market... and have seen gains as high as 50% in less than a year on PPDI and Covance, our favorite contract research organizations.

Related Articles

Tracking Down the Superbug

Second Only to Porn

And the best part about investing in our stocks is while the rest of the world is popping antacids every time a retirement fund statement shows up in the mailbox, we'll be sleeping easy.

Good investing,

Rob Fannon

Bond Insurers Face AAA Downgrade
Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's increased their scrutiny of bond insurers after losses on subprime-mortgage securities prompted Ambac Financial Group Inc. to report writedowns of $3.5 billion.

Ambac and MBIA dropped in early New York Stock Exchange trading and their risk of default soared after Moody's said it may cut Ambac's AAA credit rating. S&P yesterday began examining all bond insurers after increasing its predictions for losses on subprime mortgages. Shares of Ambac plunged $8.01, or 62 percent, to $4.96 as of 9:48 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. MBIA shares dropped $4.57, or 34 percent, to $8.83. Read on...

Famed Oil Buff Calls Peak Oil a Farce
Output from the world's existing oil fields is declining at a rate of about 4.5% annually, a new study concludes, depriving the world of the same amount of oil that No. 4 producer Iran supplies in a year.

Yet the study's authors, Boston-based Cambridge Energy Research Associates, argue that their assessment supports a generally rosy view of the industry's future, given that new projects in the works will make up for the decline.
WSJ ($) Read on...


Medical stocks still climbing... Millennium Pharmaceutical, MGI Pharma, and Covidien at new highs.

Bond insurers get slammed... Ambac and MBIA face downgrades, hit 15-year lows.

Global infrastructure boom stumbles... Martin Marietta, Cemex, Texas Industries, Alcoa, and Macquarie at new lows.

Yahoo hits new 52-week low... down 33% since October!
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1333.26 -2.91% -6.81%
Oil (USO) 71.03 -1.14% 60.43%
Gold (GLD) 86.50 -1.69% 39.58%
Silver (SLV) 157.17 0.48% 19.82%
US Dollar 76.22 -0.03% -10.12%
Euro 1.47 -0.01% 11.19%
VIX 28.46 4.08% 127.00%
HUI 434.08 -4.53% 28.36%
10-year yield 3.64% 0.00% 30.49%
Company Sym Industry

MFA Mortgage

MFA

virtual bank

Contango

MCF

oil & gas

Millennium Pharma

MLNM

pharma

MGI Pharma

MOGN

pharma

Covidien

COV

health care

San Juan Basin

SJT

oil & gas

Alberto-Culver

ACV

beauty products

Genzyme

GENZ

biotech

Advertisement

Company Sym Industry

MBIA

MBI

bond insurer

Telkom SA

TKG

telecom

Nordic American

NAT

shipping

Harley-Davidson

HOG

motorcycles

Liberty Media

LINTA

media

NYMEX

NMX

financial svcs

UBS

UBS

bank

Nabors

NBR

oil drilling

General Maritime

GMR

shipping

Wachovia

WB

bank

Nordstrom

JWN

department store

Time Warner

TWX

media

Walt Disney

DIS

entertainment

Ambac

ABK

bond insurer

American Capital

ACAS

private equity

Bristol-Myers

BMY

Big Pharma

Morgans Hotel

MHGC

hotels

Avery

AVY

paper prod

Martin Marietta

MLM

building materials

Schering-Plough

SGP

pharma

Sprint Nextel

S

telecom

Dow Chemical

DOW

chemicals

Motorola

MOT

cell phones

InterContinental

IHG

hotels

Allied Waste

AW

garbage

Double Hull

DHT

shipping

Alcoa

AA

aluminum

Franklin Templeton

BEN

asset mgmt

PNC Financial

PNC

bank

Cemex

CX

cement

Cisco

CSCO

communications

CBS

CBS

media

Teck Cominco

TCK

zinc

Citigroup

C

bank

Campbell Soup

CPB

canned soup

Ford

F

American auto

Sara Lee

SLE

food products

Alex & Baldwin

ALEX

shipping

Vail Resorts

MTN

hotels

Macquarie

MIC

infrastructure

Gruma

GMK

food

Fortress

FIG

hedge fund

Under Armour

UA

clothing

Yahoo

YHOO

internet svcs

Texas Industries

TXI

cement

Credit Suisse

CS

bank

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