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A Trader's Biggest Sin
By Jeff Clark

April 24, 2008

Successful option traders have an 11th commandment...

Risk not thy whole wad.

The concept behind this rule is simple: Don't put too much money into any one trade. But you'd be surprised how strong the temptation is to break this commandment.

Just imagine you've done all the analysis and you've come up with the one option trade that looks like an absolute no-brainer to double or triple in value. Why put just $1,000, $2,000, or even $5,000 into the trade? Why not go "all in," and put your entire savings into the position?

After all, if it's a no-brainer, then why not use it to capture the big score and really pump up your account?

Of course, the no-brainer could turn out to be a loser and wipe out your entire account. Then you're out of the game. That's a temporary condition, though, as you can always get back into the game by taking a second job delivering pizzas or working the night shift behind the glass booth at a gas station.

A more troubling condition is the effect that over-committing to one trade has on your emotions.

Let's face it, people get emotional over money. The more money you have at stake, the more emotional you're likely to get.

And a trader overcome by emotion is like an Opera singer with a sinus infection. Performance is going to suffer.

Traders need to think logically and stick to their discipline. That's tough to do when too much money is at stake. We start watching every tick. We start questioning the logic behind the trade in the first place. And we second-guess every move.

The Secret to Winning: Not Losing

Get Rich Off Other People's Stupidity

When our emotions are in play, we're more likely to get bluffed out of a position – to exit the trade before it's had time to move in our direction. We're also more likely to hold on to a losing position longer than we should because we just can't stomach taking a loss THAT big... and maybe it'll come back. Of course, it never comes back, and we end up with a horrendous loss.

Every trader I know has gone "all in" once or twice during his or her career. And every trader I know has regretted it.

That's what happens when you break a commandment.

Next week I'll share with you my personal portfolio strategy, and the technique I use for trading my own account.

Best regards and good trading,

Jeff Clark

Saudis Need More Money For Oil
The biggest threat to the security of oil supplies is the lack of spare production capacity worldwide, Saudi Arabia warned yesterday.

In unusually frank remarks, Ali Naimi, the kingdom's oil minister, said: "Limited capacity along the entire supply chain is the real source of current global supply tightness and represents the greatest threat to ensuring adequate energy to fuel future economic growth." FT ($) Read on...

London Commercial Real Estate Faces "Stress"
London's office market faces "imminent stress" as the fallout from the global credit crisis weakens demand for space in the city's financial district, Moody's Investors Service said.

Conditions in the City of London deteriorated faster than any other European market last year, Moody's analysts wrote in a report on commercial mortgage-backed debt today. Markets across Europe may worsen if the credit crisis continues and the supply of property increases, the New York-based ratings firm said. Read on...


World's largest steel company ArcelorMittal hits all-time high; up 53% this year.

Bond insurer Ambac Financial hits all-time low; down 96% from 2007 high.

Another leg down for newspapers... Lee Enterprises, Gannett, McClatchy, and Media General hit new lows.

Earnings today: Altria, Hershey, American Express, ConocoPhillips, Credit Suisse, Massey Energy, Ford, Microsoft, Raytheon, Potash.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1378.78 0.51% -4.87%
Oil (USO) 80.11 1.74% 57.39%
Gold (GLD) 93.75 1.09% 37.67%
Silver (SLV) 186.44 3.64% 26.84%
US Dollar 74.80 -1.06% 10.86%
Euro 1.497 0.98% 13.61%
VIX 21.88 -4.99% 96.23%
HUI 477.79 2.45% 32.05%
10-year yield 3.86% -0.04 -0.77
Company Sym Industry

Ventas

VTR

health care REIT

StatoilHydro

STO

Big Oil

CNX Gas Corp

CXG

oil & gas

Sadia

SDA

meat products

Tupperware

TUP

containers

Brinks

BCO

home alarms

Mesa Royalty Trust

MTR

oil & gas

Pride International

PDE

oil drilling

Freeport-McMoRan

FCX

copper

Rio Tinto

RTP

metals

Hugoton Royalty

HGT

oil & gas

ArcelorMittal

MT

steel

Nabors

NBR

oil drilling

Energen

EGN

utilities

FMC Corp

FMC

chemicals

C.H. Robinson

CHRW

air freight

Yum! Brands

YUM

fast food

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Company Sym Industry

SkyWest

SKYW

airline

Western Refining

WNR

oil refining

Ambac

ABK

bond insurance

Monaco Coach

MNC

RVs

Crocs

CROX

rubber shoes

Pacific Ethanol

PEIX

ethanol

AMR Corporation

AMR

airline

Meredith

MDP

media

Imperial Sugar

IPSU

sugar

Gannett

GCI

newspapers

Delta

DAL

airline

US Airways

LCC

airline

Northrop Grumman

NOC

aerospace

HNI Corp

HNI

office furniture

Briggs & Stratton

BGG

motors

Apex Silver

SIL

silver

Winnebago

WGO

RVs

Continental Airlines

CAL

airline

Lee Enterprises

LEE

newspapers

McClatchy

MNI

newspapers

Fleetwood

FLE

RVs

Media General

MEG

newspapers

Pinnacle Airlines

PNCL

airline

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