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Tuesday April 8, 2008

How Wall Street Will Pay You to Buy Stocks
By Jeff Clark

Alright, I lied.

A few weeks ago, in a self-generated Q&A session, I wrote, "The single best income-producing strategy ever created is selling covered calls against low-risk value stocks." But that's not true.

Don't get me wrong... Covered call writing is a terrific strategy. What you do when you write covered calls is buy a cheap stock with little downside, then sell someone the right to buy it from you at a higher price (you can read more about how it works, here).

We're using that strategy quite successfully in the Advanced Income portfolio... We've locked in gains of 7% and 8% in two months, 17% in three months, 13% in six months, and in a couple of weeks we'll close out another trade and record a 23% gain in seven months.

One strategy, however, works even better – and it works a little like this...

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Imagine you're walking through your favorite clothing store. As you rummage through the discount racks, looking for a bargain, you notice a beautiful cashmere sweater. It's the same sweater you thought about buying a few months ago for $100. Today, it's on sale for just $40.

The sweater is a terrific buy at that price. But you'd be even more willing to buy it for $35.

So, you approach the cashier and inform her if the sweater drops to $35 within the next couple of months, then you'd be willing to purchase it. She nods her head in agreement, opens the cash register, and gives you $2.

You stuff the $2 into your pocket and exit the store, knowing that you may get to buy the sweater at an exceptional price within the next two months. And if the price never drops, then you at least made a couple of bucks for your patience.

Wouldn't it be great if you could really get paid to go shopping?

Basically, you found a bargain, agreed to buy it at an even better price, and got paid a couple of bucks for your willingness to do so.

Of course, we know you can't buy sweaters this way. But you can use this technique to buy stocks.

That's right. You can actually get paid to simply agree to buy already beaten-down value stocks if they get even more beaten down.

The strategy I'm talking about is known as "shorting naked puts." Like covered call writing, shorting puts is a fabulous income strategy, especially during bear markets. Unfortunately, however, just like covered call writing, this strategy is misused by many investors and misunderstood by almost everyone.

Let's be clear... Selling puts is a strategy where you get paid for agreeing to buy a stock at a specified price at some point in the future. If the stock declines, then you'll buy it at the bargain-basement price. If the stock doesn't decline to the agreed-upon price, then you keep the option premium as a profit.

It's as simple as that. Unfortunately, like most good ideas, people have made this strategy more complicated by trying to extract the highest possible return...

It's Time to Start Selling

Make 3% per Month – Every Month

One way to increase your rist is to sell puts on richly priced stocks, just because they offer the largest premiums. Another way to overleverage is to take a much bigger position than normal. (For example, if you typically buy 100 shares of stock, only sell one put. Selling 10 puts will obligate you to buy 1,000 shares.)

So people will tell you that selling naked puts is a risky, high-leveraged endeavor. But if you do it right, it's a simple, low-risk strategy that can generate steady, safe income in a bear market.

Best regards and good trading,

Jeff Clark

P.S. I've put together a special research report on getting paid to own stocks for my Advanced Income subscribers. If you'd like to learn more about this technique – which is perfect for generating high income during a bear market - then click here.

Wall Street Pollyannas Got It Wrong
When Wall Street's almost 1,800 equity analysts figured U.S. earnings growth for the third quarter of 2007, they were 8.2 percentage points too high. Forecasts for the fourth quarter were wrong, too, overestimating profits by 33.5 percentage points, the biggest miss ever.

It's no wonder investors don't trust analysts, says Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab Corp., which oversees $1.4 trillion for clients. Merrill Lynch & Co., Bank of America Corp. and the rest of the securities industry aren't losing credibility because of anything sinister. The problem is they didn't get their math right after credit markets froze nine months ago. Read on...

WaMu Shareholders Take Another Hit
Private-equity firm TPG and other investors are close to a deal to invest $5 billion in Washington Mutual Inc., people familiar with the matter said Sunday.

The injection of new capital would allow the country's largest savings and loan to ease its pressing capital requirements, the people said, amid punishing losses from the national mortgage crisis. But it would substantially dilute current WaMu shareholders, who have already lost 74% of their investment over the past year. WaMu's market capitalization on Friday was just under $9 billion, after its shares dropped 11% that day.
WSJ ($) Read on...



Copper approaches May 2006 high of $4.04. Citigroup ups copper price forecast.

Oil breaks $107... oil-service companies Weatherford International, Helmerich & Payne, Gulfmark Offshore, and Halliburton hit new highs.

Infrastructure buildout sends Vale, Gerdau, Arcelor Mittal, United States Steel, Steel Dynamics, AK Steel, and Cleveland-Cliffs to new all-time highs.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1378.78 0.51% -4.87%
Oil (USO) 80.11 1.74% 57.39%
Gold (GLD) 93.75 1.09% 37.67%
Silver (SLV) 186.44 3.64% 26.84%
US Dollar 74.80 -1.06% 10.86%
Euro 1.497 0.98% 13.61%
VIX 21.88 -4.99% 96.23%
HUI 477.79 2.45% 32.05%
10-year yield 3.86% -0.04 -0.77
Company Sym Industry

Companhia Vale

RIO

iron ore

LifeCell

LIFC

biotech

Halliburton

HAL

oil services

Petrohawk Energy

HK

oil & gas

Mosaic

MOS

agriculture

Fording Canadian

FDG

coal

Devon Energy

DVN

oil & gas

CF Industries

CF

agriculture

ArcelorMittal

MT

steel

XTO Energy

XTO

oil & gas

Gerdau

GGB

steel

Alpha Resources

ANR

coal

Contango

MCF

oil & gas

James River

JRCC

coal

United States Steel

X

steel

Apache

APA

oil & gas

Potash

POT

agriculture

Massey Energy

MEE

coal

AK Steel

AKS

steel

Southwestern

SWN

oil & gas

Walter Industries

WLT

coal

Salesforce

CRM

customer mgmt

Permian Basin

PBT

oil & gas

Steel Dynamics

STLD

steel

Weatherford Intl

WFT

oil services

FMC

FMC

agriculture

McMoRan Exp

MMR

oil & gas

Stillwater

SWC

platinum

Cleveland-Cliffs

CLF

iron ore

Helmerich & Payne

HP

oil drilling

Sabine Royalty

SBR

oil & gas

Bucyrus

BUCY

heavy equipment

Leucadia National

LUK

holding company

Murphy Oil

MUR

oil & gas

Fomento Economico

FMX

beverages

Plains Exploration

PXP

oil & gas

Century Aluminum

CENX

aluminum

Flowserve

FLS

industrial prod

Range Resources

RRC

oil & gas

CPFL Energia

CPL

utilities

Forest Oil

FST

oil & gas

Sigma-Aldrich

SIAL

biotech

Cabot Oil & Gas

COG

oil & gas

Metallica Resources

MRB

gold & silver

Compass Minerals

CMP

salt

Schnitzer Steel

SCHN

steel

Questar

STR

oil & gas

Olympic Steel

ZEUS

steel

Comstock Resources

CRK

oil & gas

Gulfmark Offshore

GLF

oil services

Permian Basin

PBT

oil & gas

Novo Nordisk

NVO

Big Pharma

Stone Energy

SGY

oil & gas

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Company Sym Industry

ev3

EVVV

medical devices

Riverbed Tech

RVBD

computing

F5 Networks

FFIV

Internet services

Lincare

LNCR

health care

4 Kids Entertainment

KDE

media

ChinaCast

CAST

education

Salary

SLRY

salary info

Duckwall-ALCO

DUCK

discount retail

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