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The Mecca of Biotech
By Rob Fannon, editor, Phase 1 Investor

September 21, 2007

The "holy land" of biotech – the birthplace of the entire sector – is quite literally a city within a city.

Nestled on the banks of the San Francisco bay, the Genentech (DNA) campus covers several acres and boasts more than 50 buildings. Massive billboards with the faces of Genentech's success stories stare down passing cars...

Joel, Rituxan, Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma patient, volunteer firefighter, and school board member committed to his community.

Ina, Xolair, an interior designer excited about her newly opened gallery.

Last month, for the first time, analyst George Huang and I took a pilgrimage the world's first biotech company... Pulling into the parking lot of Building 42, we stepped out into a perfect early fall breeze, a vista of planes descending over the bay into the nearby SFO airport, and clear views of three freshly finished research centers.

Our tour guide, a research scientist in Genentech's genomics division and a friend from our grad school days, came strolling out of the building with a big smile on his face... "Not a bad view, huh?"

The walk around the hallowed grounds was impressive. He pointed out the gourmet cafeteria, an exercise path along the water, bus stops where free shuttles take employees in and out of the city, and the multibillion-dollar drug-manufacturing buildings where access is strictly limited.

The pristine high-rise that houses long-time CEO Art Levinson's office towered near the main gate. Dr. Levinson still attends company brainstorming sessions, where budding scientists present new ideas.

Our friend explained how 25% of his work schedule is dedicated to the pursuit of "side projects" with a generous budget and complete creative freedom. The company's top-selling cancer drug, Avastin, sprung from this corporate initiative. Today, the drug nets more than $2 billion in annual sales.

The company's scientists, who publish more academic papers than any other company in the drug industry, stick close to Genentech's scholastic beginning... In 1976, venture capitalist Bob Swanson sat down for a beer with Herbert Boyer, a UCSF biochemist, at a San Francisco pub... and the rest is history.

This founding myth is clearly an important part of the company. It's captured by a 600-pound bronze statue situated in the heart of campus. As you can see, the financier hunches over the table in the middle of his elevator pitch, while the conservative academic sits back, pensive, with a pint in one hand and his chin in the other.

VIX Volatility Index 

On campus, the bronze beer glasses overflowed with pennies, nickels, dimes, and quarters. Apparently, company scientists drop spare change in the cups for good luck when passing by.

But while Genentech's scientists may pay lip service – and spare change – to the company's nimble, entrepreneurial roots, this prototypical biotech's uber-growth heyday has passed.

That's not to say that the sun has set on the company... it's just moved past its high-noon peak. Now, Genentech is closer to a Big Pharma company, once the antithesis to the biotech industry.

The evidence lies in the Genentech research and development efforts. For the first time, the company is actively racing Big Pharma to produce lifestyle drugs – compounds to treat ocular disease, cardiovascular disease, and immune problems – rather than the cancer drugs that made it famous.

So, I would recommend a visit to biotech's sacred city, but only for posterity's sake... After some on-the-ground due diligence, we think that Genentech may be headed for the same kinds of problems beleaguering its Big Pharma brethren. Investors beware.

Good investing,

Rob Fannon

Editor's Note: While Big Pharma and now Big Biotech flounder, investors have plenty of ways to profit from the boom in health care spending. To read about a few of my favorite ideas, click here.

Abu Dhabi Buys U.S. Private Equity Stake
Carlyle Group has agreed to sell a minority stake to the Abu Dhabi government in a transaction that values the Washington-based private-equity giant at nearly $20 billion.

The deal will expand Carlyle's capital base and its ties to a region that is raising its financial profile around the world. It could also provide a benchmark valuation if Carlyle should follow the leads of rivals Blackstone Group and Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and pursue an initial public offering. Read on...

Japanese Expect Weaker Dollar; Buy Yen
Yen buying by Japanese individual investors reached a three-month high of $1.57 billion yesterday, figures from the Tokyo Financial Exchange indicate.

Pensioners, businessmen and housewives, so-called mom and pop traders, accelerated purchases of Japan's currency a day after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, eroding the yield advantage on dollar investments. The popularity of currency margin trading has added to declines in the yen, which has dropped 9 percent against New Zealand's dollar and 11 percent versus Australia's in the past year. Read on...


Gold at $745 and still climbing... Meridian Gold, Lihir Gold, Rangold Resources, Rio Narcea, Agnico-Eagle, Kinross Gold, and three gold ETFs hit fresh highs

Everyone wants missiles... Raytheon at seven-year high.

And oil rigs... National Oilwell Varco up 150% this year.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1517.48 2.77% 14.86%
Oil (USO) 62.13 2.41% 6.53%
Gold (GLD) 71.68 1.00% 23.10%
Silver (SLV) 129.25 1.72% 15.71%
US Dollar 79.26 -0.56% -7.54%
Euro 1.396 0.73% 9.78%
VIX 26.48 6.26% 125.17%
HUI 365.41 -0.03% 22.45%
10-year yield 4.47% 0.01 -0.33
Company Sym Industry

Lihir Gold

LIHR

gold

China Finance Online

JRJC

online info

Endesa

ELE

utilities

Cree

CREE

semiconductors

POSCO

PKX

steel

Rangold Resources

GOLD

gold

McDermott

MDR

construction

ABB Ltd

ABB

electrical equip

Oil Service HOLDRs

OIH

oil ETF

Meridian Gold

MDG

gold

Deutsche Telekom

DT

telecom

CGG Veritas

CGV

oil services

GameStop

GME

video games

Oracle

ORCL

networks

eBay

EBAY

online auction

Rio Narcea

RNO

gold

Agnico-Eagle Mines

AEM

gold

Central Gold-Trust

GTU

gold ETF

Morgan Stanley China

CAF

China stocks

Covance

CVD

biotech

Weatherford Intl

WFT

oil services

iShares COMEX Gold

IAU

gold ETF

China Southern Airline

YZC

airline

Fording Canadian Coal

FDG

coal

Becton, Dickinson

BDX

medical equip

Petrobras

PBR

Big Oil

Kinross Gold

KGC

gold

Colgate-Palmolive

CL

conglomerate

Hansen Natural

HANS

beverages

ASA Ltd

ASA

mining fund

Flotek Industries

FTK

oil services

streetTRACKS Gold

GLD

gold ETF

BHP Billiton

BHP

mining

Isis

ISIS

biotech

Arcelor Mittal

MT

steel

Cubic

CUB

defense

Natl Oilwell Varco

NOV

oil rigs

Raytheon

RTN

aerospace

Potash

POT

fertilizer

Sinovac Biotech

SVA

biotech

AT&T

T

telecom

Molson Coors

TAP

beer

Telefonica SA

TEF

telecom

Yanzhou Coal Mining

YZC

coal

SAP

SAP

software

Advertisement

Company Sym Industry

Circuit City

CC

electronics

Talbots

TLB

clothing

Wolseley

WOS

contractors

Time Warner Cable

TWC

cable

Natuzzi

NTZ

furniture

The Dixie Group

DXYN

carpet

Pantry

PTRY

convenience store

Heaven Help the Contrarian
September 20, 2007

The Best Ways to Invest in Austin Real Estate, Part I
September 19, 2007

The Next Move in the Dollar
September 18, 2007

Memphis: A Hotbed for Developers
September 17, 2007

Weekend Edition
September 15, 2007

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