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Why the Oakley Buyout Was No Surprise
By Graham Summers
June 27, 2007

Last Thursday, the Italian luxury glasses manufacturer Luxottica purchased sports sunglasses maker Oakley (OO) for $2.1 billion, or $29.30 a share. This represented a 17% premium to OO's share price at the time.

The deal probably came as a bit of a surprise to most investors...

Luxottica primarily focuses on prescription and luxury designer glasses. The Italian glasses giant owns Ray-Ban and licenses Bvlgari, Chanel, Dolce & Gabbana, Prada, Versace, and others. For it to break into sports glasses marks a significant leap from its core business.

However, for those of us who track SEC filings, this deal has been a long time coming.

Oakley's founder, Jim Jannard, was and remains the largest shareholder of Oakley stock. And in the years preceding this deal, Jannard added substantially to his holdings.

In 2004, Jannard bought $2 million worth of stock. In 2005, it was $16 million. And in the first half of 2006, he bought $4.6 million. Altogether, Jannard bought more than $23 million worth of stock... bringing his personal holdings to 63% of the company's outstanding shares.

Seeing this, I recommended Oakley to subscribers of Inside Strategist in May 2006. At the time, Oakley shares were trading around $17. In Oakley, we saw the dominant brand in its field – Oakley sunglasses were sold in more than 100 countries and accounted for over 48% of the company's annual sales – that was expanding into prescription eyewear: a $16 billion market.

Oakley started designing and selling prescription eyewear in 1998. However, it wasn't until 2006 that the company really began to focus on expanding this product line. To that end, the company began making several acquisitions... acquisitions that coincided with some rather sizable purchases of Oakley's stock by Jim Jannard.

The first was Oakley's February 8, 2006, acquisition of the private company Oliver Peoples. Through the acquisition, Oakley acquired three high-end brand names: Oliver Peoples, Mosley Tribes, and Paul Smith.

Two weeks after the announcement of the acquisitions, Jim Jannard bought $2.2 million worth of stock.

Oakley then further expanded its footing in the high-end eyewear market with its March 14, 2006 purchase of Optical Shop of Aspen (OSA). You can't get more high-end than OSA. The chain operates 14 luxury outlets in the United States, selling glasses by Chanel, Dolce & Gabbana, Oliver Peoples, and Chrome Hearts. The last line in particular is worth noting, since its glasses sell for $350 to a whopping $6,000.

One week after Oakley announced the acquisition, Jim Jannard bought another $1.6 million worth of Oakley stock.

And then came the mac daddy of SEC filings, SEC Form 8-K Item 5.02: the Executive Severance Plan amendment. In Oakley's case, this 8-K detailed how Oakley's officers would be compensated, should the company experience a "change in control," otherwise known as a buyout.

Of course, you're not necessarily going to see a buyout every time a company amends its executive severance plans. But between Oakley's shift to prescription eyewear, Jim Jananrd's purchases, and the amended severance package, I was willing to bank that we'd see a potential buyout offer come in soon.

Last Thursday, the buyout offer came from Luxottica, the world's largest glasses retailer.

Inside Strategist subscribers are now up 60% on Oakley's stock. And by the time the deal closes (second half of 2007), we'll have made 65%.

It pays to follow the founders.

Good trading,

Graham

Record Bullishness on China
Zhang Shibao covers 12 Chinese stocks and recommends investors buy all of them, even after they've more than tripled on average in the past year.

"We are still in the middle of the bull market and the uptrend is irreversible," said Zhang, a steel analyst at China Merchants Securities Co. in Shenzhen. Read on...

Bear Stearns Has a Large Subprime Problem
Over the years, Wall Street firm Bear Stearns Cos. has weathered a number of storms. And last week, when the 84-year-old company decided to lend as much as $3.2 billion to a troubled internal hedge fund, it was with an eye toward easing investor anxieties.

But instead, shareholder concern is now on the rise. Yesterday, amid concern about Bear's hedge-fund woes and its vulnerability to further declines in the market for subprime-home loans, the company's shares fell $4.65, or 3.2%, to $139.10, in 4 p.m. composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange, their lowest level in nearly a year.

That drop capped a 4.6% fall for the past two trading days, putting Bear's stock down 14.5% for the year, while most other investment banks are roughly flat. WSJ ($) Read on...


Gold stocks fall again... AMEX Gold Bugs Index down another 2.5%.

Chemical companies Celanese, Terra Nitrogen, Huntsman, FMC, and Rockwood Holdings at 52-week highs.

REITs and homebuilders continue their nosedive... 10 REITs hit new lows; 5 homebuilders.

Chinese stocks still surging... China Medical Technologies, China Mobile, China Yuchai, Huaneng Power, and Sina Corp. at new highs.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1497.74 -0.32% 20.35%
Oil (USO) 51.96 0.13% -22.32%
Gold (GLD) 64.43 -0.54% 11.11%
Silver (SLV) 128.25 -1.39% 23.88%
US Dollar 82.35 0.02% -5.21%
Euro 1.346 0.00% 7.63%
VIX 15.75 10.84% -0.82%
HUI 336.05 -0.19% 9.63%
10-year yield 5.14% -0.03 -0.06

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