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Sears: A Hedge Fund with No Fees
By Graham Summers
June 20, 2007

Eddie Lampert may be the best living investor today.

Since 1988, his hedge fund, ESL Investments, has shown investors average annual returns of 29%, beating Warren Buffett and practically every other investor on the planet.

Among those who've benefited from Lampert's track record are Texas billionaire Richard Rainwater, media mogul David Geffen, Dell founder Michael Dell, and the Tisch family.

Most ESL investors keep mum about their success with Lampert. However, Geffen once claimed that he made more money with ESL than from every business he ever created and sold combined.

ESL is open to new investors. However, you can only join by personal invitation from Lampert himself. The minimum investment is $20 million. And you can't touch the money for five years.

On top of this, you'll be handing over 2% of your total investment in fees as well as 20% of all potential profits. In light of these fees and Lampert's reputation, it's small wonder that he was the first hedge fund manager to clear the $1 billion mark in annual income in 2005.

If you're still set on investing with Lampert, there is a much cheaper alternative: buy Sears Holdings (SHLD)...

Lampert took hold of Sears via its 2004 $11 billion merger with Kmart. At that time, Lampert was Kmart's chairman, having taken the company from bankruptcy to a cash cow. Following the merger, Lampert became the chairman and CEO of the combined company.

Don't let the brand names fool you. Sears is not just a retail company anymore. In Lampert's own words it's a "$55 billion start-up."

Lampert's comments and improved returns to shareholders have prompted speculation that he will use Sears Holdings much as Warren Buffett used a textile company called Berkshire Hathaway as an investment vehicle rather than a retailer. Lampert has certainly shifted the company's focus from growing sales to increasing its returns to shareholders.

He's more than doubled its cash flow from $1.1 billion in 2004 to $2.3 billion in 2006. He's also drastically improved earnings per share, thanks to substantial buybacks: In 2006, SHLD repurchased $16 million worth of stock. Its current repurchase plan allows for an additional $604 million.

Lampert has also decreased SHLD's long-term debt by $300 million (14%), closed 52 underperforming stores, and increased gross margins from 24% to 28%. SHLD's share price reflects the improvements: It's up 70% since Lampert took the reins.

A minimum investment in Lampert's publicly traded hedge fund is $175 (one share) and there are no fees. It's one of the few chances to invest with Lampert directly.

More to come on Sears in our next essay. Until then...

Good trading,

Graham

The Flat Panel Television Meltdown
A sharp and persistent decline in flat-panel TV prices has triggered a financial meltdown among consumer electronics retailers. Chains that initially prospered from consumers' desire for these sleek sets now face a flooded market, intense competition from discounters and a buying public that expects deep price cuts year after year.

Furious price-cutting has, during the past four months, compelled Circuit City to replace 3,400 sales clerks with lower-paid hires, pushed Tweeter Home Entertainment into Chapter 11 bankruptcy and forced CompUSA to close more than half its stores nationwide. Not since prices for personal computers plunged in the early 1990s have so many retailers been hurt by a single product cycle, analysts say. Read on...

Foreign Ownership in Japan Hits Record
Overseas investors have raised their share of corporate Japan to a record high, potentially intensifying the influence of western-style capitalism in a country still resistant to shareholder activism.

International investors increased their stake in the stock market to 28 per cent in March from just over 26 per cent in 2006 and only 4.7 per cent in 1990, according to figures released by the Tokyo Stock Exchange and four smaller Japanese bourses.
FT ($) Read on...


Fast food king McDonald's at new high... up 20% in 2007.

Crude oil at nine-month high.

Agricultural chemicals surge as the farm boom continues: Agrium, Potash Saskatchewan, KMG Chemicals, and Terra Nitrogen at 52-week highs.

Homebuilders fall, confidence reaches 16-year low: Hovnanian, Standard Pacific, and Meritage hit new 52-week lows.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1533.70 0.17% 23.67%
Oil (USO) 52.12 -0.04% -20.48%
Gold (GLD) 65.48 0.82% 16.18%
Silver (SLV) 132.65 0.77% 33.36%
US Dollar 82.55 -0.13% -4.42%
Euro 1.342 0.00% 6.80%
VIX 12.85 -4.25% -27.93%
HUI 340.97 1.47% 19.88%
10-year yield 5.09% -0.06 -0.06

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Company Sym Industry

Total

TOT

Big Oil

Comp de Saneamento

SBS

utilities

Fannie Mae

FNM

mortgages

Diamond Offshore

DO

oil drilling

Potash Sask

POT

mining

Arlington Tankers

ATB

shipping

Shire

SHPGY

pharma

Southern Copper

PCU

copper

Dollar General

DG

discount retail

Bristol-Myers Squibb

BMY

Big Pharma

Shaw Group

SGR

infrastructure

China Medical Tech

CMED

medical equip

Agrium

AGU

agriculture

Schlumberger

SLB

oil services

Bayer

BAY

Big Pharma

Sohu

SOHU

online info

Expedia

EXPE

online travel

TAM

TAM

airline

Petrobras

PBR

Big Oil

Seabridge Gold

SA

gold

Caterpillar

CAT

heavy equip

Allianz

AZ

insurance

Kyocera

KYO

electronics

ICICI Bank

IBN

Indian bank

Arcelor Mittal

MT

steel

Royal Dutch Shell

RDS-A

Big Oil

Ameriprise Financial

AMP

asset mgmt

Norsk Hydro

NHY

oil drilling

J. Crew

JCG

clothing

SLM Corp

SLM

student loans

Textron

TXT

conglomerate

FLIR Systems

FLIR

infrared

Comp de Minas

BVN

gold

BASF

BF

chemicals

T. Rowe Price

TROW

mutual funds

Baidu

BIDU

search engine

McDonald's

MCD

fast food

Petro-Canada

PCZ

oil & gas

Terra Nitrogen

TNH

agriculture

EnCana

ECA

oil & gas

GlobalSantaFe

GSF

oil drilling

KMG Chemicals

KMGB

agriculture

Taser Intl

TASR

stun guns

Intel

INTC

semiconductors

iShares Australia

EWA

ETF

Company Sym Industry

Hovnanian

HOV

homebuilder

Journal Register

JRC

newspaper

Meritage Homes

MTH

homebuilder

Washington REIT

WRE

DC office REIT

EDGAR Online

EDGR

online info

Standard Pacific

SPF

homebuilder

VeraSun Energy

VSE

ethanol

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