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A New Power Boom Starts in California
By Matt Badiali
June 14, 2007

The first thing you notice about the power plants is the silence.

I'm looking at the Geysers, located about 70 miles north of San Francisco, just outside of Sonoma, California. It is the largest developed geothermal field in the world. It's also an example of what's possible in power generation.

Standing on the western ridge, looking out across the deep green valley, you see another ridge about two miles away. The ridge is spiderwebbed with big, white pipes.

Wells drilled to 11,000 feet below the surface cut across steam-filled cracks in the rocks. The steam comes up the wells, through the pipes, and over to the generation plant. The steam turns a big turbine, which generates electricity.

The Geysers Field currently produces around 1,000 megawatts, but that capacity is expanding.

To put that in perspective, the Tennessee Valley Authority's Kingston Fossil Fuel plant produces 1,140 megawatts, or enough energy for 700,000 homes. The plant consumes 14,000 tons of coal per day to generate that much energy.

The power plant at the Geysers also strikes a pretty small footprint. It's nearly invisible compared to its power plant peers. Take the monstrous Four Corners coal mine/power plant I visited in Fruitland, New Mexico, for example. You could see its silhouette for miles around. The coal mine was a giant hole in the ground, and the noise of the operation was deafening.

Located in a 30-square-mile area in the Mayacamas Mountains on the border of Sonoma and Lake Counties, the Geysers are the crown jewel of Calpine, the largest producer of geothermal energy in North America. The power generated at the Geysers supplies 60% of the power needs from the Golden Gate Bridge north to the Oregon border.

California is an ideal place for developing geothermal power. The state currently gets 6% of its power (2,492 megawatts) from geothermal sources, and another 15 projects are underway. California's Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS) requires that 20% of the state's electricity come from renewable sources by 2010.

Another bill is before the California State government that would increase the RPS to 35% by 2015. I see the bulk of it coming from geothermal plants like the Geysers... it's the best source of renewable energy – if it is available.

Reliability of Renewable Energy Sources
Company
Symbol
Geothermal
98%
Wind
30%
Solar
<50%

In the past, geothermal energy was expensive to produce. However, the economics have improved due to better drilling techniques, field management experience, and more efficient turbines. Because of tax incentives, producing geothermal power can be a hugely profitable enterprise.

My trip to the Geysers was part of an invitation only seminar hosted by a geothermal company. The other attendees were high net worth individual investors and bank analysts. The attendees came as far as Iceland and the Philippines to participate. Interest here is building...

For now, most investments in geothermal are companies working with new technologies. We're still in the early stages of the game, so it's difficult to invest in right now.

However, as the world invests billions into non-polluting sources of energy, this area will experience a huge boom in the coming decade. We'd be wise to follow it.

Good investing,

Matt Badiali

Georgia's Small Builders Signal Danger Ahead
The state of home building in Georgia is anything but peachy.

When most people think of the slowing housing market, Florida and California typically come to mind. And while those two places continue to lead the national pace in rising construction-loan delinquencies, the pain is starting to spread. New bank-loan data and a number of defaults by smaller players show that the trend is starting to take hold in Georgia.

And in what is surely bad news for banks, foreclosure rates in Georgia were among the nation's 10 highest in May, according to data released yesterday by real-estate data firm RealtyTrac Inc. WSJ ($) Read on...

Iceland Gains Momentum After Meltdown
Iceland's stock market and currency are among the world's best performers this year after teetering on the brink of collapse in 2006. The island's record interest rates and relatively low equity prices will drive more gains.

"Stocks will rally another 10 to 15 percent," said Gudmundur Gudmundsson, head of trading at Kaupthing Bank hf in Reykjavik. "The krona is still going strong and will retain its strength in 2007" on expectations rates will stay near records. Read on...


The farm boom continues. Wheat at 11-year high... CF Industries at all-time high... farm lender Farmer Mac at 52-week high.

America's largest oil rig builder, National-Oilwell Varco, hits another all-time high... up 350% in the past three years.

Copper & gold miner Freeport McMoRan reaches new all-time high on strong metals prices.

Homebuilders plumb new depths... Pulte Homes, Meritage Homes, Standard Pacific, and Hovnanian reach new lows.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1515.67 1.52% 23.86%
Oil (USO) 50.09 1.07% -23.15%
Gold (GLD) 64.53 0.67% 15.40%
Silver (SLV) 130.65 1.04% 35.74%
US Dollar 83.05 0.04% -3.87%
Euro 1.331 0.14% 6.10%
VIX 14.73 -11.64% -38.14%
HUI 325.97 1.38% 19.08%
10-year yield 5.20% -0.05 0.24

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Company Sym Industry

Lawson Software

LWSN

software

Freeport McMoRan

FCX

copper

Kaman

KAMN

defense prod

Pinnacle Airlines

PNCL

airlines

Cost-U-Less

CULS

discount retail

Rimage

RIMG

CD equipment

AutoDesk

ADSK

computer design

Garmin

GRMN

GPS systems

Dollar General

DG

discount retail

Petrobras

PBR

Big Oil

Corn Products Intl

CPO

food products

J. Crew

JCG

clothing

Volcom

VLCM

clothing

DeVry

DV

secondary edu

BHP Billiton

BHP

mining

Madeco

MAD

copper prod

Lubrizol

LZ

chemicals

Cabot Oil & Gas

COG

oil & gas

Perini

PCR

heavy construct

ITT Education

ESI

secondary ed

Carrizo

CRZO

oil & gas

Global Industries

GLBL

heavy construct

Cubic

CUB

electronics

Martin Marietta

MLM

materials

Pogo Producing

PPP

oil & gas

Manitowoc

MTW

machinery

Cooper Tire

CTB

tires

Rural Cellular

RCCC

telecom

Taleo

TLEO

software

Breeze-Eastern

BZC

defense prod

Sapient

SAPE

software

Shanghai Century

SHA

holding company

Robbins & Myers

RBN

machinery

Federal Agricultural

AGM

mortgages

Shutterfly

SFLY

online photos

Comp Bras de Dist

CBD

grocery stores

KHD Humboldt

KHDH

holding company

LG. Phillips

LPL

electronics

Nat Oilwell Varco

NOV

oil services

Tele de Sao Paulo

TSP

telecom

Pier 1

PIR

home furnishings

CF Industries

CF

ag chemicals

Teck Cominco

TCK

mining

Company Sym Industry

Vista Gold

VGZ

gold

Alaska Air

ALK

airlines

US Airways

LCC

airlines

Hovnanian Ent

HOV

homebuilder

Standard Pacific

SPF

homebuilder

Pulte Homes

PHA

homebuilder

UMH Properties

UMH

mortgage REIT

Opteum

OPX

mortgage REIT

Dominos Pizza

DPZ

pizza chain

BUCA

BUCA

restaurants

Idenix

IDIX

biotech

Journal Register

JRC

newspapers

Warner Music

WMG

music label

McClatchy

MNI

newspapers

Meritage Homes

MTH

homebuilder

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