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A Government-Backed Pickle Company?
By Graham Summers
July 18, 2007

Barack Obama loves pickles. 

OK, well he may not truly love them, but the Obama household has a thing for pickles. Barack's wife, Michelle, serves as a director at TreeHouse Foods (THS). And Tree House owns Bay Valley Foods, the largest pickle supplier and No. 1 packer of private-label pickles in the U.S.

For her service, Michelle has received $64,000 in cash and stock grants worth roughly $58,000. Michelle's tenure as a director ends during 2007, well before the 2008 election.  

But one only has to look at our current administration to see what these kinds of relationships can produce. Vice President Dick Cheney received a severance package of $13.6 million when he left his position as CEO of Halliburton (HAL). Cheney chose to receive the compensation over five years, so he was on HAL's payroll well into his first term. 

During its two terms in office, the Bush/Cheney Administration has funneled more than $11 billion in contracts to HAL. I'm not saying every single dollar was corrupt, because HAL received contracts from the Clinton administration too – but it's clear to me that the government's relationship with HAL isn't squeaky clean. 

Will the same thing happen to pickles if Obama makes the oval office? Will Obama promote legislation that benefits food retailers? Who knows? But I'd pay close attention to TreeHouse if Obama gets elected. 

I'd also keep an eye on financials firms. 

Securities and investment firms have contributed $1.3 million to Obama's 2008 campaign. As an industry, they are the third-largest contributors so far, comprising 2% of his $58 million war chest. 

Obama's not the only democrat highly favored by financials. 

Financials and real estate firms are the second- and third-largest contributors, respectively, to Hillary Clinton's 2008 campaign. So far, Clinton has received $1.7 million in campaign financing from securities and investment firms and $1.4 million from real estate firms. Combined, the two have contributed 5% of her $62 million war chest. 

It's much the same for the Republican candidates. 

With $44 million, Mitt Romney currently leads the Republican party in fund raising… $1.9 million of that came from securities and investment firms. Another $1.6 million came from real estate. However, another group popped up as a top contributor to Romney's campaign… 

Hedge funds. 

Altogether, hedge funds and private-equity firms have contributed $597,000 to Mitt Romney's campaign, nearly twice the $333,000 they've given to Hillary Clinton and more than three times the $161,000 they've given to Barack Obama. Hedge funds also favor Rudy Giuliani, having contributed $358,000 to his 2008 campaign. 

I'll look around for a few companies that are particularly big donors for these candidates. I can't promise we'll get another Halliburton-type boondoggle, but there's bound to be more to the 2008 candidate-donor relationships than pickles. 

Good trading, 

Graham

Homebuilder Confidence in the Basement
Confidence among U.S. homebuilders fell this month to the lowest level in 16 years, signaling the housing market continues to tumble.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo sentiment index declined to 24 this month, the lowest since January 1991, from 28 in June, the Washington-based association said today. Readings less than 50 mean most respondents view conditions as poor.

Builders are pulling back on construction of new homes as inventories remain high as sales haven't recovered. Housing probably will be a drag on economic growth the rest of this year, economists said. Read on…

Merrill Lynch Reports Huge Numbers, Stock Falls
Merrill Lynch & Co., the third- biggest U.S. securities firm, said profit rose 31 percent as stock-market gains and low financing costs lifted trading revenue, investment-banking fees and brokerage commissions.

Net income in the second quarter jumped to $2.14 billion, or $2.24 a share, from $1.63 billion, or $1.63, a year earlier, New York-based Merrill said in a statement. That exceeds the average estimate of $2.02 a share in a Bloomberg survey of 17 analysts. Read on…


Global telecom rally continues... new all-time high for Emerging Markets Telecom Fund. Major holdings include China Mobile, America Movil (Latin Am), and SK Telecom (Korea).

World's leading producer of diesel engines, Cummins, hits new all-time high.

Dell and Intel continue the tech rally and reach new 52-week highs.

Leading homebuilder, Beazer Homes, down nearly 75% from 2006 high... trading around 0.5 times (questionable) book value.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1549.37 -0.01% 25.51%
Oil (USO) 55.64 -0.22% -22.34%
Gold (GLD) 65.75 -0.11% 2.81%
Silver (SLV) 128.15 -0.61% 17.60%
US Dollar 80.54 0.00% -7.34%
Euro 1.378 -0.02% 10.02%
VIX 15.59 2.90% -13.72%
HUI 352.70 -1.15% 3.71%
10-year yield 5.04% -0.07 -0.02

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Company Sym Industry

Intel

INTC

semiconductors

Boston Beer

SAM

brewer

Ritchie Bros. Auction

RBA

industrial auction

Mitsui & Co

MITSY

conglomerate

SK Telecom

SKM

telecom

Dow Chemical

DOW

chemicals

Schlumberger

SLB

oil services

Kennametal

KMT

drill bits

Tidewater

TDW

shipping

Caterpillar

CAT

machinery

Lyondell

LYO

chemicals

FLIR Systems

FLIR

infrared

Pozen

POZN

biotech

Allied Waste

AW

waste mgmt

Manpower

MAN

staffing

KLA-Tencor

KLAC

semiconductors

Petro-Canada

PCZ

Big Oil

Baxter

BAX

medical equip

IBM

IBM

computers

Advanced Semi

ASX

semiconductors

Men's Wearhouse

MW

clothing

FMC Corp

FMC

chemicals

Metalink

MTLK

semiconductors

Honeywell

HON

aerospace

CNOOC

CEO

Big Oil

Aracruz Celulose

ARA

paper

Pogo Producing

PPP

oil & gas

Kyocera

KYO

electronics

Rockwell Collins

COL

aerospace

Bank of New York

BK

bank

Texas Instruments

TXN

semiconductors

General Electric

GE

conglomerate

Union Pacific

UNP

railroads

Dell

DELL

computers

Rohm & Haas

ROH

chemicals

Altera

ALTR

semiconductors

ON Semiconductor

ONNN

semiconductors

Constellation Energy

CEG

utilities

Ultra Semiconductors

ETF

semi ETF

CSX

CSX

railroads

Company Sym Industry

Opteum

OPX

mortgage REIT

Lee

LEE

newspapers

Finish Line

FINL

retail shoes

Circuit City

CC

electronics retail

Redwood Trust

RWT

REIT

Warner Music Group

WMG

record label

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