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The Only Private Equity Fund I'd Buy
By Graham Summers
July 9, 2007

The Wall Street Journal is a decade late on this one.

The headlines focus on the IPOs of Blackstone and Kohlberg Kravis and Roberts as if they're revolutionary. But the fact of the matter is that both firms are latecomers to public markets.

In fact, one particular private-equity fund has been publicly traded since 1997. It's not a small fund, either. With more than $12 billion in assets under management, it's the third-largest publicly traded private-equity fund behind Blackstone and Fortress.

Since going public, this fund has shown investors an average annual return of 23%. It's also paid out more than $24 per share in dividends. And its current yield (7.8%) blows away anything Fortress, Blackstone, or KKR have to offer

Because this company focuses exclusively on smaller deals – its average investment is $100 million – it can usually pony up all of the cash necessary to close. Since it doesn't need to involve banks or other institutions, it closes its deals at a much greater rate than its larger competitors: In 2006, this company closed 26 deals.

KKR closed only seven.

And lest you think this speed compromises the company's due diligence, consider the following: This company closes only 1.4% of the deals it considers. It gleaned the 26 deals it closed in 2006 from more than 3,800 potential companies.

I'm talking about Inside Strategist holding American Capital Strategies (ACAS).

ACAS has more than 140 dealmakers, 30 operations managers, and 62 accountants, all of whom look into a prospect's operations and financials. A potential company must pass five total reviews before ACAS invests a cent. Every single ACAS employee involved has the power to veto a deal completely if something strikes him funny.

After all of this, a company is finally presented to ACAS's investment committee – six top-level executives, including its founder Malon Wilkus.

I first recommended ACAS stock to Inside Strategist subscribers in July 2006. At that time, the company's senior executives had purchased more than $7 million worth of ACAS stock. Among the buyers were founder Malon Wilkus, director Kenneth Peterson, director Phillip Harper, and executive vice president Samuel Flax.

In the past year, readers have made about 45% on ACAS.

And ACAS is still cheap. KKR trades at 13 times earnings, ACAS trades at seven times earnings.

But here's what really makes ACAS different from its peers…

A typical leveraged buyout (LBO) firm pools its capital with a company's management to finance up to 25% of the company's acquisition price, using the company's assets as collateral on a loan for the other 75%. Once it takes the company private, the LBO firm sells off various portions of the company to cut costs and streamline the business. The restructured company is then sold for a profit.

ACAS, on the other hand, funds all of its investments using public capital. Part of the reason ACAS is so cheap is that Wall Street has a hard time figuring out why the company would go to the public rather than taking several months to raise funding from institutions or loading up its companies with tons of debt.

Later this week, I'll show you how to take advantage of ACAS' unique structure to leverage your gains.

Good trading,

Graham

Japanese Citizens More Bearish on Yen Than Chicago
Yen sales by Japanese mom and pop investors this week exceeded professional traders' bets against the currency on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Net short positions on the yen against the dollar, or wagers Japan's currency will fall, reached $1.1 billion among traders using borrowed funds on July 4, according to Tokyo Financial Exchange. Based on estimates of the exchange's market share, the total position of Japanese individual investors is about $19.15 billion, compared with a record $19.07 billion of bets by traders on Chicago's market. Read on…

The Bull Market in Crude Oil Continues
Crude oil rose to a 10-month high on concern unrest in Nigeria and maintenance of a North Sea oil field will curb supply as unexpected refinery closures cut fuel output.

The main militant group in Nigeria's oil-producing Niger River delta region condemned the kidnapping of a 3-year-old British girl. Brent oil, produced in the North Sea, is also rising because of planned maintenance at a field in the region. Refineries in California, Texas and Kansas have shut or slowed operations this week. Read on…


The global boom continues… nearly all world stock markets at all-time highs.

Big Oil dominates… new highs for ConocoPhillips, Statoil, Total, Petrobras, Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron, and Eni.

Leading sectors right now: oil services, defense, heavy construction, telecom, and basic materials.

Losing sectors right now: You guessed it, homebuilders and newspapers.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1526.69 0.08% 19.83%
Oil (USO) 54.62 0.87% -22.82%
Gold (GLD) 64.65 0.36% 2.59%
Silver (SLV) 126.64 1.60% 9.18%
US Dollar 81.46 -0.12% -4.55%
Euro 1.362 0.16% 6.59%
VIX 15.48 3.75% 9.40%
HUI 343.18 2.06% 0.21%
10-year yield 5.14% 0.09 -0.08

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Company Sym Industry

Taiwan Fund

TWN

Taiwan ETF

Union Drilling

UDRL

oil drilling

Total

TOT

Big Oil

Eldorado Gold Corp

EGO

gold

Royal Dutch Shell

RDS-A

Big Oil

Grupo Aeroport

PAC

airports

Briggs & Stratton

BGG

engines

GameStop

GME

video games

Norsk Hydro

NHY

oil drilling

Overseas Shipholding

OSG

shipping

ConocoPhillips

COP

Big Oil

Seabridge Gold

SA

gold

Guess? Inc

GES

clothing

Alico

ALCO

farming

Frontline

FRO

shipping

Manitowoc

MTW

farm machinery

America Movil

AMX

telecom

BASF

BF

chemicals

Natl Oilwell Varco

NOV

oil services

Petrobras

PBR

Big Oil

Apollo Group

APOL

education

Freeport McMoRan

FCX

mining

StealthGas

GASS

shipping

BHP Billiton

BHP

mining

Eni

E

Big Oil

Cree

CREE

semiconductors

Intel

INTC

semiconductors

Occidental Petro

OXY

oil & gas

AGCO

AG

farm machinery

Navios Maritime

NM

shipping

Dollar General

DG

discount retail

Gerdau

GGB

steel

Century Aluminum

CENX

aluminum

IBM

IBM

computers

Garmin

GRMN

GPS

Baidu

BIDU

search engine

Southern Copper

PCU

copper

Chevron

CVX

Big Oil

Rowan

RDC

oil drilling

Deckers Outdoor

DECK

shoes

Noble

NE

oil drilling

Statoil

STO

Big Oil

Costco

COST

wholesale club

Tidewater

TDW

shipping

Shaw Group

SGR

infrastructure

Pride Intl

PDE

oil drilling

Brasil Telecom

BRP

telecom

Ralph Lauren

RL

clothing

Taseko Mines

TGB

copper

Thai Fund

TTF

Thai stocks

Chaparral Steel

CHAP

steel

Terra

TRA

agriculture

Rinker

RIN

cement

Dell

DELL

computers

Comp Vale do Rio

RIO

steel

Anglo American

AAUK

mining

Transocean

RIG

oil services

Oceaneering

OII

oil services

iShares Global 100

IOO

mega caps

iShares Hong Kong

EWH

Hong Kong ETF

iShares Canada

EWC

Canada ETF

iShares Brazil

EWZ

Brasil ETF

iShares Australia

EWA

Aussie ETF

Company Sym Industry

D.R. Horton

DHI

homebuilder

Hovnanian

HOV

homebuilder

Finish Line

FINL

retail shoes

Journal Register

JRC

newspapers

KB Home

KBH

homebuilder

Ruth's Chris Steak

RUTH

restaurants

Pulte Homes

PHM

homebuilder

Whole Foods

WFMI

organic grocer

Circuit City

CC

electronics retail

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