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Two Mutual Funds You Should Buy
By Graham Summers

July 3, 2007

I'm not much of a fan of mutual funds.

For one thing, they rarely beat the market. According to a recent study by Boston financial research firm, Dalbar, the average annual mutual fund return from 1984 to 2000, a rampant bull market, was 14% a year. The S&P 500 returned 16.29% over the same period.

Even if you isolate mutual funds that focus on the largest, most profitable companies, the returns don't improve much. The Journal for Financial Planning found that only 10% of large cap mutual funds beat the S&P 500 from 1983 to 2003.

If you're going to hand over 1%-2% in fees to management, shouldn't you expect returns above and beyond that of a general index? Otherwise what are you paying for? Hedge funds are even worse. In those circumstances, you're handing over 2% of assets and 20% of profits. Small wonder that some hedge fund managers pull in more than $1 billion a year.

However, to me, the gravest charge against the mutual fund industry is that most fund managers don't invest their own money in the fund. You see, most asset managers aren't paid based on performance, they're paid based on the amount of assets under management.

And both assets under management and salaries are booming.

In 1970, there were roughly 270 funds with $48 billion in assets. By January 2006, there were more than 8,000 U.S. mutual funds with more than $9.13 trillion in assets.

Granted, if a fund manager turns in crummy year after crummy year, his assets under management, and consequently his compensation, will shrink. However, the best method to ensure your interests are aligned with management's is to look for managers who invest heavily in their own funds.

If a manager puts his own money alongside yours, you know he's going to perform well. This is case with most investing legends. Warren Buffett, Jim Rogers, Eddie Lampert, and George Soros are all guys who bet big on themselves. It's how they made their fortunes.

Same goes for investment legend Marty Whitman, who manages the Third Avenue Value Fund (TAVFX). Whitman's been in the financial industry for some 50 years. He started out in investment banking and later became a turnaround specialist for bankrupt companies. The business school at Syracuse University – his alma mater – bears his name.

Since its inception in 1990, TAVFX has shown investors an average annual return of 16%. Whitman's total return for the period is 1,200%.

Even better, Whitman's got a substantial percentage of his personal wealth in TAVFX. As of January 2004, he had over $63 million in Third Avenue's mutual funds. SEC filings reveal he hasn't substantially altered his positions since then.

Likewise, founder Ronald Muhlenkamp runs the Muhlenkamp Fund (MUHLX). Over the last 15 years, Muhlenkamp has shown investors an average annual return of 13%, beating the S&P 500 by about 2% a year – $10,000 invested in MUHLX in 1990 would be worth over $110,000 today.

Most of Muhlenkamp's personal long-term assets are invested in the fund. So is the entire Muhlenkamp & Co. pension plan. Muhlenkamp employees' nest eggs are all in one basket: the fund.

When you're deciding on mutual funds for a retirement portfolio, ask the manager if he or she has money invested in the fund... and keep in mind guys like Whitman and Muhlenkamp. They beat the market and they have plenty of their own money on the line with yours.

Why consider anyone else?

Good trading,

Graham

New York Office Space Reaches Record
In a sign that demand for commercial real estate continues unabated despite the recent turmoil in the debt markets, investors agreed late last week to buy 450 Park Ave., a boutique office building in midtown Manhattan, for $1,589 a square foot, or about $510 million.

The price – believed to be the most expensive on a per-square-foot basis for an office building in U.S. history – demonstrates that trends like strong foreign currencies and the availability of equity are helping the market for commercial office space, at least in premium markets such as New York, despite concerns over tighter lending practices.
WSJ ($) Read on...

Bear Stearns Proud Owner of Three-Bedroom House
Only the possums are enjoying the backyard of 2035 Lilac Lane in Decatur, Georgia, where Wall Street titan Bear Stearns Cos. is just another homeowner by default.

"It's a mess," said Kiwanna Ford, 31, who grew up next door to the vacant brick ranch-style house four miles south of the DeKalb County Courthouse. Bear Stearns seized the property three months ago after Ford's neighbor stopped making payments on his mortgage. "If we wanted to sell our house right now with that next door, it would hurt," she said.
Read on...


Chinese blue chips go parabolic again... iShares China up 38% since March.

Miners continue to hit new highs... BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, Southern Copper, Seabridge Gold, and Fording Canadian Coal.

More all-time highs for Big Oil: Statoil, Repsol, Total, Eni, and Royal Dutch Shell all hit fresh highs.

Homebuilders still dominating the lows... Meritage, Pulte, Lennar, and Hovnanian continue waterfall declines.

Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1519.43 1.07% 19.62%
Oil (USO) 53.53 1.00% -23.28%
Gold (GLD) 65.02 1.17% 6.19%
Silver (SLV) 125.88 1.93% 13.01%
US Dollar 81.39 -0.63% -4.43%
Euro 1.362 0.59% 6.51%
VIX 16.23 4.44% 24.56%
HUI 329.35 0.93% 0.25%
10-year yield 5.03% -0.09 -0.17

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Company Sym Industry

Rio Tinto

RTP

steel

Seabridge Gold

SA

gold

Research in Motion

RIMM

BlackBerrys

Noble

NE

oil drilling

Apollo Group

APOL

education

Kyocera

KYO

electronics

Bucyrus

BUCY

heavy equip

First Solar

FSLR

solar technology

Lafarge

LR

cement

BE Aerospace

BEAV

aerospace

Celanese

CE

chemicals

John Wiley & Sons

JW-A

publishing

Terra

TRA

agriculture

Credicorp

BAP

Peruvian bank

Dell

DELL

computers

Huaneng Power

HNP

utilities

ACE Ltd.

ACE

insurance

Fording Coal Trust

FDG

coal

Reddy Ice

FRZ

ice

CBS Corp

CBS

broadcasting

Goodrich

GR

aerospace

BHP Billiton

BHP

mining

Taiwan Fund

TWN

Taiwan ETF

DryShips

DRYS

shipping

Gerdau

GGB

steel

China Mobile

CHL

telecom

KMG Chemicals

KMGB

agriculture

ABB Ltd.

ABB

electrical equip

FMC

FTI

oil services

AT&T

T

telecom

FLIR Systems

FLIR

infrared

Eni

E

Big Oil

Kennametal

KMT

industrial tools

Garmin

GRMN

GPS

Bunge

BG

agribusiness

LAN Airlines

LFL

airline

Siemens

SI

telecom services

E.ON

EON

utilities

Monsanto

MON

agriculture

Nike

NKE

apparel

AK Steel

AKS

steel

Norsk Hydro

NHY

oil drilling

Comp Gen de Geo

CGV

oil services

Statoil

STO

Big Oil

Repsol

REP

Big Oil

Vector Group

VGR

cigarettes

Baidu

BIDU

search engine

Navios Maritime

NM

shipping

Taser

TASR

stun guns

Costco

COST

wholesale club

Northrop Grumman

NOC

aerospace

Southern Copper

PCU

copper

BG Group

BRG

natural gas

Total

TOT

Big Oil

Petro-Canada

PCZ

oil refining

Comp de Minas Buen

BVN

gold

Novo Nordisk

NVO

Big Pharma

DaimlerChrysler

DCX

German auto

Royal Dutch Shell

RDS-A

Big Oil

Bank of New York

BK

bank

Dollar General

DG

discount retail

Sohu

SOHU

online info

iShares China

FXI

China ETF

Company Sym Industry

Atari

ATAR

electronics

Circuit City

CC

electronic retail

Finish Line

FINL

retail shoes

Meritage Homes

MTH

homebuilder

Hovnanian

HOV

homebuilder

Impac Mortgage

IMH

mortgages

Lennar

LEN

homebuilder

Whole Foods

WFMI

organic grocer

Trump Entertain

TRMP

real estate

Pulte Homes

PHM

homebuilder

Ruth's Chris

RUTH

restaurants

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