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Charles Brandes' Favorite Telecom Play
By Graham Summers

April 09, 2007

Investing legend Charles Brandes has made billions by betting against the crowd. As I mentioned last Monday, he's betting big on telecom, particularly fixed-line international plays.

Brandes' largest holding is in Telefonos de Mexico (TMX), or Telmex as it's commonly called. Altogether, Brandes owns $1.3 billion worth of Telmex stock.

It's not difficult to see why.

Telmex has a virtual monopoly on Mexico's fixed-line phone service. The company is owned by billionaire Carlos Slim Helu (the third richest man in the world), who bought it from the Mexican government in 1990.

Telmex controls 90% of the fixed-line phone service in Mexico and more than 80% of ISP and broadband access. Not content with a monopoly in just one country, Slim has been branching out into other Latin American countries.

Telmex recently bought AT&T's Latin American assets as well as Techtel and Metrored (Argentina) and Chilesat (Chile). In July 2006, the company completed its acquisition of 90% of the voting shares Embratel (Brazil).

Slim's Telmex now operates in Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. The additions to Telmex's revenues and income have pushed the stock to a three-year high. Telmex shares are now closing in on their all-time highs of 1999-2000.

Telmex shares are soaring...
(1-year chart)

Since 1996, Telmex revenues and income have nearly tripled. Even better, the company has diminished its shares outstanding by a third, thanks to massive share buybacks.

Today, Telmex is trading for 15 times earnings, two times book, and eight times cash flow. It yields 2.3%.

By buying Telmex, you're investing with Slim, the Warren Buffett of Latin America. And you're also putting your money alongside Charles Brandes, who's shown investors average annual gains of 15% since 1987.

Good company to be in.

Regards,

Graham

China Scours the Globe for Food, Finds Brazil
[A]s its economy grows, so does China's appetite for pork, poultry and beef, which require higher volumes of soybeans as animal feed. Plagued by scarce water supplies, China is turning to a new trading partner 15,000 miles away – Brazil – to supply more protein-packed beans essential to a richer diet.

China's global scramble for natural resources is leading to a transformation of agricultural trading around the world. In China, vanishing cropland and diminishing water supplies are hampering the country's ability to feed itself, and the increasing use of farmland in the United States to produce biofuels is pushing China to seek more of its staples from South America, where land is still cheap and plentiful. Read on...

High Prices Be Damned: U.S. Sets Gasoline Usage Record
In a bid to save energy, Congress moved up daylight-saving time by three weeks this year. But so far, the change appears to have backfired after Americans last month used record amounts of gasoline as they got out to enjoy the extra hour of sunshine.

Average daily gasoline demand for the three weeks after the time change rose 2.8% from the same period a year ago and was the highest ever for the period, according to the Energy Department. Read on...


Best Performing ETFs in 2007

Market Vectors Steel (SLX)

+11.6%

Vanguard Materials (VAW)

+8.2%

Ultra MidCap 400 (MVV)

+8.1%

PowerShares Basic Materials (PRFM)

+7.9%
PowerShares Healthcare Svcs. (PTJ)
+6.2%

Worst Performing ETFs in 2007

iShares China (FXI)

-11.0%

iShares U.S. Home Constr. (ITB)

-8.3%

Claymore BRIC (EEB)

-5.8%

iShares Global Energy (IXC)

-5.5%
UltraShort MidCap 400 (MZZ)
-5.5%
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1443.76 0.30% 10.08%
Oil (USO)* 52.01 -0.61% -23.33%
Gold (GLD) 66.86 0.07% 13.98%
Silver (SLV)* 136.60 0.63% -1.10%
US Dollar 82.97 0.35% -6.88%
Euro 1.338 -0.35% 9.00%
VIX 13.23 -0.08% 18.87%
HUI 354.15 -0.53% 1.79%
10-year yield 4.67% 0.02 -0.17
* Since ETF inception

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