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A Billionaire with a Quarter of His Portfolio in Telecom
By Graham Summers

April 02, 2007

In investing, you have to be willing to go where no one wants to go.

Just ask Charles Brandes.

Brandes founded his firm, Brandes Investment Partners, in 1974 – right after the seventh worst stock crash in history. U.S. equities had lost 45% of their value in the previous two years. Few times in the 20th century seemed worse to open a stock-based investment firm.

But Brandes was a disciple of legendary value investor Benjamin Graham. So while everyone else saw disaster in the U.S. markets, Brandes saw quality companies trading at bargain-basement prices. He saw a beautiful illustration of the three most important words Graham ever spoke to him: "margin of safety."

Brandes bought and bought big.

Since 1987, Brandes' Global Equity fund has shown investors an average annual return of 14%, outperforming the MSCI global-stock benchmark by an average of 5%. Last, year he returned a whopping 27%.

Today, Brandes' firm manages more than $117 billion in assets. Brandes himself is worth about $2 billion, making him the 133rd richest American.

And he's shifting his firm's money into telecom stocks.

Investing trends usually take five years to play out. Telecom stock ruled from 1996 to 2001. It's no coincidence that from 2001 to today, the stocks on the other end of the spectrum – real estate and commodities – have been the biggest winners.

Brandes is betting that it's time for the pendulum to swing back. He currently has more than 24% of his portfolio in telecom stocks.

The value there is unbelievable. Telecom giants Verizon (VZ) and Sprint Nextel (S) are both trading at four times cash flow. And the industry is beginning to show signs of life again. Verizon and AT&T are both approaching new 52-week highs.

The Telecom ETF (IYZ) has outperformed every other industry except utilities for the last 12 months. While oil and real estate dominate the headlines, telecom stocks have begun a strong rally.

Brandes favors international fixed-line operators...

Company
Symbol
Holdings
Telefonos De Mexico
TMX
$1.3 billion
Telefonica
TEF
$1.0 billion
Deutsche Telekom
DT
$1.0 billion
KT Corp
KTC
$993 million

The U.S. may be saturated with phone lines, but in many developing countries, these services are still in their infancy. We'll dig deeper in to the sector in the coming week and report on our findings soon.

Good trading,

Graham

Farmers Will Plant Most Corn Since 1944
U.S. farmers will sow the most acres of corn since World War II and cut soybean plantings after record ethanol production boosted grain prices to a 10-year high, a government survey showed.

Corn acres will rise 15 percent from last year to 90.454 million, the most since 1944, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said today in its annual spring-plantings report.

Soybean acres may fall 11 percent to 67.14 million, an 11-year low. Analysts in a Bloomberg survey expected a 12 percent increase in corn acreage and an 8.4 percent drop in soybean plantings. Read on...

Biotech Firms Can't Find Enough Skilled Employees
Biotechnology companies including Genentech Inc. and Gilead Sciences Inc. can't find enough scientists to hire, threatening to slow one of the industries bolstering U.S. job growth.

Genentech's workforce doubled in the past four years to 10,500 and may rise 11 percent this year – if managers can locate biomedical scientists. Gilead bought two companies last year, partly to get 200 skilled employees. Read on...


Everything related to metals production soaring... Steel Dynamics, Chaparral Steel, Market Vectors Steel, International Aluminum, Metal Management, and Cleveland Cliffs at new highs.

Food producers Groupe DANONE, Unilever, Sanderson Farms, Tyson, and JM Smucker reach new 52-week highs.

Biopharma leader Gilead Sciences at new all-time high.
In the news: Farmers planting staggering corn crops.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1420.86 -0.12% 9.28%
Oil (USO)* 53.35 -0.50% -21.36%
Gold (GLD) 65.74 0.14% 12.18%
Silver (SLV)* 133.52 0.74% -3.33%
US Dollar 82.93 -0.07% -7.25%
Euro 1.336 0.10% 11.32%
VIX 14.64 -3.30% 26.53%
HUI 337.66 -0.25% -0.92%
10-year yield 4.65% 0.02 -0.21
* Since ETF inception

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