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The Cure For “Wydintijus”
by Jeff Clark

July 20, 2006

At some point in every trader’s career, he or she comes down with a severe case of Wydintijus (pronounced wy-dint-i-jus).

Symptoms of this disease are loss of self-confidence, a nagging doubt of one’s ability to trade, and a chronic sense of frustration.

The first signs of the disease manifest themselves in a series of questions, such as…

Wydintijus hold that trade a little while longer?
Wydintijus take that profit when I had it?
Wydintijus get out of the trade when it first went against me?
Wydintijus stay in bed?

Yesterday, I felt the disease coming on.

You see, four weeks ago I recommended that my Trade of the Week subscribers buy the Abbot Laboratories July 42.50 calls. We bought the calls for about $1 and sold them last week for $1.65.

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That’s a 65% return in just three weeks. And, it’s hard to be disappointed with that. But yesterday I found myself asking, “Wydintijus hold them a little while longer?”

You see, the calls that I sold at $1.65 exploded to over $3.00 when ABT announced earnings that were better than expected. And I was kicking myself for not holding on to the trade.

But that’s an amateurish reaction.

Even if we had held on to the trade, we would have been stopped out at a much lower price. The calls traded all the way back down to $1 after we sold them. And holding an option trade into an earnings announcement is more of a gamble than a strategic speculation – as anyone who was long Yahoo! (YHOO) can tell you.

Also, anyone who generates a 65% profit over three weeks ought to be pleased with that result and move on from there.

Nonetheless, its human nature to look back and question, “What if?”

Traders have to eliminate that phrase from their vocabulary.

Traders have to focus on the current opportunities and put all previous trades behind them. You’re never going to buy a stock at the absolute low, and you’re never going to sell at the absolute high.

The best you can hope for is a winning percentage, and trying to squeeze the maximum profit out of every situation defeats that purpose.

On Tuesday I told you I was going to buy tech stocks into any weakness. And, I did.

But as the market exploded higher yesterday, and the semiconductor index lead the charge, I couldn’t help but ask myself, “Wydintijus put everything I have into the trade?”

The question I should have been asking is, “What am I going to do with these profits?”

Indeed, the cure for “Wydintijus” disease is simply a strong dose of perception.

As for what I'm doing with my profits... I'm holding on for further gains.  But I'll be quick to take profits if this rally starts to fizzle.

Best Regards & Good Trading,

Jeff Clark

Fed Chief Bernanke Learns How To Speak A Lot And Say Nothing “‘There are risks in both directions, if I may say so,’ Bernanke said during questioning before the Senate Banking Committee. "Clearly we don't want to tighten too much to cause our economy to grow more slowly than its potential. We are very aware of that concern. We think about it. We look at it. We try to evaluate it," he told the panel.

‘The risk in the other direction is that ... were we to stop tightening too soon and inflation were to get higher and more persistent, then we would be faced with a situation of having to address that later on with perhaps even more rate increases,’ he added.” Read on...


Earnings today: D.R. Horton, Brookfield Homes, Google, Microsoft, Nokia.

Yahoo!’s giant plunge leaves it essentially flat for the past seven and a half years.

Yahoo! also drags Internet HOLDRs Trust to new lows… Now down 20% in the past year.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1259.81 1.86% 2.48%
Oil (USO)* 69.85 -1.27% 2.96%
Gold (GLD)* 64.03 1.80% 52.85%
Silver (SLV)* 111.39 5.13% -19.35%
US Dollar 86.52 -0.61% -3.78%
Euro 1.2587 0.70% 4.60%
VIX 15.55 -12.34% 48.80%
^HUI 335.91 3.96% 73.21%
10-year yield 5.06% -0.07 0.87
* Since ETF inception

Company Sym Industry
Southwest Gas SWX natural gas
Western Gas WGR natural gas
Cascade Natural Gas CGC natural gas
Delta & Pine DLP agriculture
Wolverine Worldwide WWW shoes
Noven NOVN pharma
Winston Hotels WXH REIT
LaSalle Hotel Group LHO hotels
Alderwoods Group AWGI funeral homes
Pepsi PEP beverages
Manor Care HCR healthcare
Kroger KR grocery stores
Merck MRK big pharma
Sonoco Products SON packaging
Rock-Tenn RKT packaging
Sportsman's Guide SGDE outdoor gear
Cash America CSH pawn shops
Falconbridge FAL mining
FTD Group FTD flowers
Jackson Hewitt JTX tax services
Company Sym Industry
Denny's DENN restaurants
Yahoo! YHOO search engine
Hitachi HIT tech
Briggs Stratton BGG engines
China Yuchai CYD diesel engines
Allied Defense ADG defense
Huntsman HUN chemicals
SigmaTel SGTL semiconductors
XM Satellite Radio XMSR satellite radio
Aber Diamond ABER diamonds
Artesian Resources ARTNA water
Cheescake Factory CAKE restaurants
Napster NAPS online music
Dominion Homes DHOM homebuilder
Ducati Motor DMH motorcyles

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