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Neil Barsky Loves to Gamble
by Graham Summers
July 19, 2006

It’s become almost ridiculously predictable…

In anticipation to a period of rising stock prices, insiders are loading up on gaming and casino stocks.

Every year for the last three years, gaming stocks have staged impressive rallies during the fourth quarter. Of the dozens of charts I’ve looked at in this sector, each and every one exploded upwards in October time and time again.

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It makes sense… gambling companies enjoy their strongest business in the summer. So October would find us in the midst of earnings announcements for the industry. It also presents buyers with an excellent time to purchase in anticipation of next year’s summer season.

Of all the gaming companies out there, few can hold a candle to International Game Technology (IGT) when it comes to chart patterns or insider buying.

Based in Reno, Nevada, IGT designs slot machines and other casino-style gaming devices. With a $22 billion market cap and annual sales of $2 billion, it’s a heavyweight in the industry. And 54% of these sales come from spinning reel, and other video screen gambling devices.

And as you can see, October has heralded massive jumps in shares price for IGT shareholders in 2003, 2004, and 2005:

Among those taking massive profits from those rallies was Director Neil Barsky.

In September 2005, Barsky bought $65 million worth of IGT’s stock for his investment fund, Alson Capital Partners. Within one month, his investment was already up 33% to $86 million

It looks like Barksy’s doing the same thing this year. Last month Barsky exercised options to buy 64,000 shares of IGT’s stock, worth some $2.2 million. And he also bought an additional 300,000 shares for Alson partners, valued at $10 million.

Somehow I don’t think he’s gambling here.

Good trading,

Graham

Tough Times For the New York Times
“The Times is also cutting about 250 jobs at a New Jersey printing plant. The cuts will save an estimated $42 million US per year, the company said.

The Times is the latest newspaper to reduce its size. The Toronto Star, USA Today and the Washington Post have all made that move in recent years.

Rising paper costs, declining readership and the shift of advertising dollars to the internet are cited as reasons.”
Read on...

Merrill Lynch Sees Higher Uranium Prices Ahead
“Uranium prices may gain as Japan, South Korea, India and the United Kingdom build more nuclear reactors to meet rising energy demand, Merrill Lynch & Co. said.

Uranium for immediate delivery may average $43 a pound this year, Vicky Binns and Daniel Hynes said in a July 12 report. This is 8 percent higher than Merrill's previous estimate of $40 and compares with last year's average of $28.” Read on...


The housing stock meltdown continues: Pulte Homes, D.R. Horton, Toll Brothers Levitt, Meritage Homes, Dominion Homes, Ryland, Brookfield Homes, Beazer Homes, Hovnanian, KB Home at new lows.

The State of Technology Stocks:
Quarterly reports today from Intel, eBay, Motorola, Apple, and QUALCOMM.
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1236.86 0.19% 1.21%
Oil (USO)* 70.75 -1.26% 4.29%
Gold (GLD)* 62.90 -1.64% 49.73%
Silver (SLV)* 105.95 -2.77% -23.29%
US Dollar 87.04 0.14% -2.93%
Euro 1.2500 -0.19% 3.73%
VIX 17.74 -4.83% 63.96%
^HUI 323.12 -1.50% 67.18%
10-year yield 5.13% 0.06 0.91
* Since ETF inception

Company Sym Industry
American Retirement ACR senior living
Western Gas WGR natural gas
Pepsi PEP beverages
Delta & Pine DLP agriculture
Suntrust STI bank
Noven NOVN pharma
Company Sym Industry
Caribou Coffee CBOU coffee
Dell DELL computers
Bombay BBA home furnishing
Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY home furnishing
WCI Communities WCI condos
Allied Defense ADG defense
Coach COH leather goods
Levitt LEV homebuilder
Journal Register JRC newspapers
Royal Carribean RCL cruiseline
Toll Brothers TOL homebuilder
Meritage Homes MTH homebuilder
Dollar General DG retail
Home Depot HD home improvement
Target TGT retail
Dominion Homes DHOM homebuilder
New York Times NYT newspaper
Florida Rock FRK concrete
Ryland RYL homebuilder
White Mountains WTM insurance
Beazer Homes BZH homebuilder
Hovnanian HOV homebuilder
KB Home KBH homebuilder
DR Horton DHI homebuilder
Pulte Homes PHM homebuilder
Brookfield Homes BHS homebuilder

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