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The One Commodity With Heavy Insider Buying…
by Graham Summers
July 14, 2006

On Wednesday, I mentioned St. Jude Medical (STJ) as a stock with heavy insider buying.

And St. Jude isn’t alone. In the past six months, the medical industry represented a big chunk of the stock market’s insider buying.

Today, I’ll tell you another business the insiders are bullish on: natural gas.

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After exploding in the late summer/early fall of 2005 following Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, natural gas prices soon fell due to a mild winter and a glut in natural gas supplies. Unlike oil, natural gas is primarily a domestic commodity, with Canada representing America’s chief importer. Canada isn’t exactly a political strife area.

And with natural gas trading above $10 per million BTU, energy producers began shifting to other fuel sources, resulting in a surplus of natural gas. Supplies rose, demand fell, and soon the price was down to $5 and change.

That’s when the insiders started loading up.

Here’s a quick list of the natural gas companies with significant insider buying in the last six months:

Company Symbol Amount
Chesapeake Energy CHK $27 million
Houston Exploration THX $8 million
PetroHawk Energy HAWK $1 million
Enbridge Energy EEQ $800,000
Apache APA $694,000
Energen EGN $500,000
Markwest Hydrcarbon MWP $250,000
Forrest Oil FST $200,000

Number one on the list, Chesapeake Energy’s (CHK) primary buyer is CEO Aubrey McClendon. At face value, his purchases are incredible.

The only problem is that as of Dec. 31, 2005, he had $91 million in unexercised options. So at any time, he could cash in these options, buy shares, and have it appear as though his purchases were open market transactions like you or I would make. McClendon’s also got $14 million in restricted stock awards due over the next four years. So Chesapeake isn't what I'd call a great insider opportunity.

I’d stick with the stocks further down the list. Several of these companies have solid insider buying, and are in confirmed uptrends.

And should a major hurricane threaten the Gulf of Mexico’s natural gas infrastructure, those uptrends could go a lot higher.

Good trading,

Graham Summers

Venezuela Sends More Oil Shipments to China
“Venezuelan oil shipments to the U.S. fell 6 percent in the first four months of the year as President Hugo Chavez followed through on his plan to find new markets for his crude, according to data from the U.S. Energy Department.”
Read on…

Wal-Mart Downgraded - Shares At New Low
“Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT.N) shares slumped to a nine-month low on Thursday after Merrill Lynch lowered its rating on the stock, citing concerns over slowing sales and a tough economic outlook.

Analyst Virginia Genereux said that historically, Wal-Mart's sales outperform other retailers in slower economic times, but that may not happen now because its core lower-income customers are grappling with a troubling mix of steep energy prices, rising interest rates, and stricter credit card payment terms.”
Read on…


New Lows list: completely full of stocks that depend on lax consumer spending.

Oil, Gold, and Volatility spiking higher…

Foreign stock ETFs take a beating: Russia, India, Israel, and South Africa decline more than 4% yesterday.

On the bright side: defensive stocks Pepsi and Cost-U-Less hit new highs
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1242.29 -1.30% 1.55%
Oil (USO)* 73.26 2.98% 7.99%
Gold (GLD)* 65.57 1.00% 54.83%
Silver (SLV)* 116.46 0.47% -15.68%
US Dollar 85.84 0.02% -3.87%
Euro 1.2688 -0.14% 4.99%
VIX 17.83 23.05% 64.48%
^HUI 335.10 -2.91% 64.81%
10-year yield 5.07% -0.03 0.91
* Since ETF inception

Company Sym Industry
Equity Office Prop. EOP office REIT
Pepsi PEP beverages
Maverick Tube MVK tubular steel
Cost-U-Less CULS wholesale clubs
Psychemedics PMD drug testing
Western Gas Resources WGR natural gas
Vornado Realty Trust VNO REIT
CVS CVS drugstore
Company Sym Industry
Orleans Homebuilders OHB homebuilder
Applebee's APPB restaurant
Tiffany & Co. TIF jewelry
D.R. Horton DHI homebuilder
Brunswick BC boats
Polaris Industries PII ATVs
Fleetwood Enterprises FLE mobile homes
Dell DELL computers
Beazer Homes BZH homebuilder
Black & Decker BDK tools
Cheesecake Factory CAKE restaurant
Brookfield Homes BHS homebuilder
Urban Outfitters URBN retail
WCI Communities WCI condos
Pier One Imports PIR home furnishings
Coach COH leather goods
Borders Group BGP books
Lennar LEN homebuilder
Toll Brothers TOL homebuilder
Lowe's LOW home improvement
Meritage Homes MTH homebuilder
Barnes & Noble BKS books
Dow Chemical DOW chemicals
KB Home KBH homebuilder
Guitar Center GTRC guitars
Motorola MOT communications
Napster NAPS online music
Lucent LU big tech

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