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Natural Gas, Healthcare, Next up Gaming
by Graham Summers

August 4, 2006

They nailed it again.

Over the last couple of months, insiders at natural gas and healthcare companies have been buying their own stock hand over fist. And they’re already profiting from these purchases.

Natural gas prices rallied 13% in four days last week, pushing the natural gas index (^XNG) to a three-year high. Similarly, the healthcare ETF (IYH) rallied 7% in the last two weeks of July. Stocks in both of these sectors are hitting new highs:

Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) and Pfizer (PFE), the two biggest holdings in the healthcare ETF both are trading at or near new 52-week highs. Similarly, XTO Energy (XTO) and Williams Companies (WMB) lead the natural gas sector.

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Marketwide, we’re seeing money flow into long-term consumer staples: medicine, energy, tobacco, and flowing out of luxury consumer spending sectors: stocks like Starbucks and Whole Foods. The insiders, via their purchases, have been anticipating this for months.

So what’s next on the insider agenda?

Gaming and Casinos.

As I wrote in the July 19th edition, Director Neil Barsky of International Game Technology (IGT) bought $33 million worth of his company’s stock for Alson Capital Partners, an investing firm he runs.

This week, Michael Gaughan, CEO of Boyd Gaming (BYD) bought $36 million worth of his company’s stock. After all, the stock is cheaper than it’s been in over a year. And like IGT, BYD has historically staged impressive rallies in the fourth quarter.

Should the Fed finish its interest rate hikes, we’ll see an influx of capital into the markets and economy. And a significant chunk of this will find its way into the slot machines and games of casinos.

Barsky and Gaughan are certainly betting on it.

Good trading,

Graham

Oil Stocks Displaying Heavy Insider Selling
“If insider selling is any guide, the stock-market rally for energy companies may be waning.

Sales of shares by officers and directors at oil refiners climbed to a record in July, according to a scoring system used by the Leuthold Group since 1999. Among a broader group of 142 energy producers, insider selling peaked in May, according to Leuthold, a research and investment firm that counts two-thirds of the 100 largest U.S. money managers as clients.

Executives at Valero Energy Corp., the largest U.S. refiner, and XTO Energy Inc., an oil and natural-gas producer, were among those selling stock.” Read On...


Earnings today: Anglo American, British Airways, Occidental Petroleum, Toyota, The Washington Post Co.

Big Telecom rolls on… BellSouth and AT&T at new highs
In The News: Insiders are heavy sellers of oil stocks
Last Change 52-Wk
S&P 500 1282.93 0.34% 3.04%
Oil (USO)* 70.71 -0.58% 4.23%
Gold (GLD)* 64.30 -0.69% 47.71%
Silver (SLV)* 120.75 -0.78% -12.58%
US Dollar 85.02 -0.35% -3.41%
Euro 1.2808 0.46% 3.86%
VIX 14.30 -0.28% 20.88%
^HUI 341.54 -1.64% 62.39%
10-year yield 4.95% -0.01 0.65
* Since ETF inception

Company Sym Industry

AT&T

T

communications

Bellsouth

BLS

communications

BT Group

BT

communications

Cinncinati Bell

CBB

communications

Tsakos

TNP

crude carriers

Torch Energy

TRU

royalty trust

ONEOK

OKE

natural gas

Alliant Energy

LNT

energy

Bank of America

BAC

banks

Suntrust

STI

banks

Morgan Stanley

MS

financial

Standard Parking

STAN

parking lots

Imperial Tobacco

ITY

tobacco

British Airways

BAB

airline

LHC Group

LHCG

health care

Zoll Medical

ZOLL

medical devices

CVS

CVS

drugstore

CompuCredit

CCRT

sub-prime lend.

Cavalier Homes

CAV

homebuilder

Levitt

LEV

homebuilder

Champion Ent.

CHB

homebuilder

Bombay

BBA

home furnish.

Pier 1

PIR

home furnish.

Caribou Coffee

CBOU

coffee

California Pizza Kit.

CPKI

restaurants

McCormick & Schm.

MSSR

restaurants

Rubio's

RUBO

restaurants

Texas Roadhouse

TXRH

restaurants

Guitar Center

GTRC

guitars

Bakers Footwear

BKRS

shoes

Eliz. Arden

RDEN

beauty

Pac. Sunwear

PSUN

retail

Overstock

OSTK

online retail

eBay

EBAY

online auctions

John Wiley

JW.A

publisher

Journal Register

JRC

newspapers

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