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The Cure For “Wydintijus”

By Jeff Clark
Thursday, July 20, 2006

At some point in every trader’s career, he or she comes down with a severe case of Wydintijus (pronounced wy-dint-i-jus).
 
Symptoms of this disease are loss of self-confidence, a nagging doubt of one’s ability to trade, and a chronic sense of frustration.
 
The first signs of the disease manifest themselves in a series of questions, such as…
 
  • Wydintijus hold that trade a little while longer?
  • Wydintijus take that profit when I had it?
  • Wydintijus get out of the trade when it first went against me?
  • Wydintijus stay in bed?
 
Yesterday, I felt the disease coming on.
 
You see, four weeks ago I recommended that my Trade of the Week subscribers buy the Abbot Laboratories July 42.50 calls. We bought the calls for about $1 and sold them last week for $1.65.
 
That’s a 65% return in just three weeks. And, it’s hard to be disappointed with that. But yesterday I found myself asking, “Wydintijus hold them a little while longer?”
 
You see, the calls that I sold at $1.65 exploded to over $3.00 when ABT announced earnings that were better than expected. And I was kicking myself for not holding on to the trade.
 
But that’s an amateurish reaction.
 
Even if we had held on to the trade, we would have been stopped out at a much lower price. The calls traded all the way back down to $1 after we sold them. And holding an option trade into an earnings announcement is more of a gamble than a strategic speculation – as anyone who was long Yahoo! (YHOO) can tell you.
 
Also, anyone who generates a 65% profit over three weeks ought to be pleased with that result and move on from there.
 
Nonetheless, its human nature to look back and question, “What if?”
 
Traders have to eliminate that phrase from their vocabulary.
 
Traders have to focus on the current opportunities and put all previous trades behind them. You’re never going to buy a stock at the absolute low, and you’re never going to sell at the absolute high.
 
The best you can hope for is a winning percentage, and trying to squeeze the maximum profit out of every situation defeats that purpose.
 
On Tuesday I told you I was going to buy tech stocks into any weakness. And, I did.
 
But as the market exploded higher yesterday, and the semiconductor index lead the charge, I couldn’t help but ask myself, “Wydintijus put everything I have into the trade?”
 
The question I should have been asking is, “What am I going to do with these profits?”
 
Indeed, the cure for “Wydintijus” disease is simply a strong dose of perception.
 
As for what I'm doing with my profits... I'm holding on for further gains. But I'll be quick to take profits if this rally starts to fizzle.
 
Best Regards & Good Trading,
 
Jeff Clark




Recent Articles
Market Notes
Earnings today: D.R. Horton, Brookfield Homes, Google, Microsoft, Nokia.
 
Yahoo!’s giant plunge leaves it essentially flat for the past seven and a half years.
 
Yahoo! also drags Internet HOLDRs Trust to new lows… Now down 20% in the past year.
Market Watch
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
S&P 500 1224.71 +0.26% +11.35%
Oil 38.31 +1.43% -0.55%
Gold 138.07 +2.12% +16.32%
Silver 28.60 +2.40% +53.60%
US-Dollar 80.19 -0.60% +7.18%
Euro 1.34 +1.39% -11.02%
Volatility 18.01 -7.12% -19.81%
Gold Stocks 581.56 +3.02% +17.04%
10-Year Yield 3.02 +0.67% -10.65%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
USA 122.89 +0.27% +11.33%
Canada 30.50 +0.20% +16.19%
Russia 21.94 +1.43% +18.08%
India 37.85 +0.32% +22.33%
Israel 16.69 +1.34% +10.75%
Japan 10.64 +0.57% +6.51%
Singapore 13.73 -1.08% +18.77%
Taiwan 14.78 +0.41% +19.19%
S. Korea 57.31 +1.33% +23.38%
S. Africa 71.87 +1.44% +28.20%
China 44.42 -1.42% -0.58%
Lat.America 53.17 +0.66% +8.38%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Oil Service 137.59 +1.04% +18.94%
Big Pharma 64.14 +0.02% -3.24%
Internet 72.07 -0.08% +23.41%
Semis 16.22 +1.19% +29.35%
Utilities 31.28 +0.22% +1.46%
Defense 18.52 +0.05% +10.57%
Nanotech 10.03 +0.40% +1.62%
Alt. Energy 10.08 +1.31% -3.26%
Water 18.49 +0.98% +14.49%
Insurance 16.14 +0.44% +21.08%
Biotech 20.54 -0.19% +28.13%
Retail 19.70 +0.25% +30.20%
Software 24.79 +0.81% +25.90%
Big Tech 53.87 +0.26% +22.74%
Construction 13.10 +0.85% +15.72%
Media 13.64 +0.52% +25.95%
Consumer Svcs 67.39 +0.19% +24.54%
Financials 55.04 +0.31% +7.44%
Health Care 64.30 +0.12% +2.01%
Industrials 63.54 +0.46% +21.03%
Basic Mat 74.35 +1.06% +25.27%
Real Estate 55.32 +0.14% +25.02%
Transportation 91.77 +0.66% +26.93%
Telecom 22.59 +0.49% +17.78%