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Natural Gas, Healthcare, Next up Gaming

By Graham Summers
Friday, August 4, 2006

They nailed it again.
 
Over the last couple of months, insiders at natural gas and healthcare companies have been buying their own stock hand over fist. And they’re already profiting from these purchases.
 
Natural gas prices rallied 13% in four days last week, pushing the natural gas index (^XNG) to a three-year high. Similarly, the healthcare ETF (IYH) rallied 7% in the last two weeks of July. Stocks in both of these sectors are hitting new highs:
 
Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) and Pfizer (PFE), the two biggest holdings in the healthcare ETF both are trading at or near new 52-week highs. Similarly, XTO Energy (XTO) and Williams Companies (WMB) lead the natural gas sector.
 
Marketwide, we’re seeing money flow into long-term consumer staples: medicine, energy, tobacco, and flowing out of luxury consumer spending sectors: stocks like Starbucks and Whole Foods. The insiders, via their purchases, have been anticipating this for months.
 
So what’s next on the insider agenda?
 
Gaming and Casinos.
 
As I wrote in the July 19th edition, Director Neil Barsky of International Game Technology (IGT) bought $33 million worth of his company’s stock for Alson Capital Partners, an investing firm he runs.
 
This week, Michael Gaughan, CEO of Boyd Gaming (BYD) bought $36 million worth of his company’s stock. After all, the stock is cheaper than it’s been in over a year. And like IGT, BYD has historically staged impressive rallies in the fourth quarter.
 
 
Should the Fed finish its interest rate hikes, we’ll see an influx of capital into the markets and economy. And a significant chunk of this will find its way into the slot machines and games of casinos.
 
Barsky and Gaughan are certainly betting on it.
 
Good trading,
 
Graham




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Market Notes
Earnings today: Anglo American, British Airways, Occidental Petroleum, Toyota, The Washington Post Co.
 
Big Telecom rolls on… BellSouth and AT&T at new highs
 
In The News: Insiders are heavy sellers of oil stocks
Market Watch
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
S&P 500 1221.53 +1.28% +10.12%
Oil 38.31 +1.43% -0.55%
Gold 138.07 +2.12% +16.32%
Silver 28.60 +2.40% +53.60%
US-Dollar 80.67 -0.81% +8.09%
Euro 1.32 +0.64% -12.10%
Volatility 18.01 -7.12% -19.81%
Gold Stocks 581.56 +3.02% +17.04%
10-Year Yield 3.02 +0.67% -10.65%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
USA 122.89 +0.27% +11.33%
Canada 30.50 +0.20% +16.19%
Russia 21.94 +1.43% +18.08%
India 37.85 +0.32% +22.33%
Israel 16.69 +1.34% +10.75%
Japan 10.64 +0.57% +6.51%
Singapore 13.73 -1.08% +18.77%
Taiwan 14.78 +0.41% +19.19%
S. Korea 57.31 +1.33% +23.38%
S. Africa 71.87 +1.44% +28.20%
China 44.42 -1.42% -0.58%
Lat.America 53.17 +0.66% +8.38%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Oil Service 137.59 +1.04% +18.94%
Big Pharma 64.14 +0.02% -3.24%
Internet 72.07 -0.08% +23.41%
Semis 16.22 +1.19% +29.35%
Utilities 31.28 +0.22% +1.46%
Defense 18.52 +0.05% +10.57%
Nanotech 10.03 +0.40% +1.62%
Alt. Energy 10.08 +1.31% -3.26%
Water 18.49 +0.98% +14.49%
Insurance 16.14 +0.44% +21.08%
Biotech 20.54 -0.19% +28.13%
Retail 19.70 +0.25% +30.20%
Software 24.79 +0.81% +25.90%
Big Tech 53.87 +0.26% +22.74%
Construction 13.10 +0.85% +15.72%
Media 13.64 +0.52% +25.95%
Consumer Svcs 67.39 +0.19% +24.54%
Financials 55.04 +0.31% +7.44%
Health Care 64.30 +0.12% +2.01%
Industrials 63.54 +0.46% +21.03%
Basic Mat 74.35 +1.06% +25.27%
Real Estate 55.32 +0.14% +25.02%
Transportation 91.77 +0.66% +26.93%
Telecom 22.59 +0.49% +17.78%