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Weekend EditionThe Best of The S&A DigestSaturday, September 13, 2008 The New York Times is struggling. Ads are down 14% this year and shares have slumped 32% in the past 52 weeks. But it's still a dominant brand. And Carlos Slim has proven he can make money with dominant brands. He made his fortune running the largest cellular and fixed-line telephone companies in Latin America.
The New York Times may be able to turn itself around, but other newspaper empires just aren't going to make it. In Porter's latest issue, out yesterday, he recommends shorting one of the biggest names in old media. Bankruptcy's a "virtual certainty," and he expects the stock to fall nearly in half over the next year.
Porter's last two short recommendations – Fannie and Freddie – made his PSIA readers more than 60%.
Citigroup, the biggest loser in the credit crisis, recently paid $18 million in refunds and settlement charges for stealing $14 million from customers' credit-card accounts. The bank had an "account sweeping program" that automatically removed positive balances from customers' accounts. If a customer double paid a bill by mistake or returned a purchase, Citigroup took the positive balance without notification – outright theft.
In its defense, Citi said it voluntarily stopped the program in 2003. In a statement, it added, "We take issue with the state's characterization of our conduct and the parties' voluntary settlement."
In a Monday report, financial industry analyst Meredith Whitney said revenues for Wall Street firms have declined 63% in the first half of the year, but compensation costs have only declined 24%. And noncompensation costs, like travel and entertainment, have actually risen 25%.
The Enron lawyers worked 280,000 hours and made just over $2,400 an hour. They worked out settlements with Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Lehman Brothers, Arthur Andersen, Kirkland & Ellis, and Enron's former outside directors, among others.
Porter sent a note along about the Enron settlements, asking, "Why is it that in our culture if you commit a big enough crime and can afford to pay a big enough fine, it's as if you haven't done anything wrong?"
Forty foreign banks account for less than 15% of total lending in Vietnam, and local incorporation will give HSBC and Standard Chartered a huge jump on the competition. Only 10% of the country's population holds bank accounts.
But he's tired of the paltry mutual-fund compensation – collecting about 1% on assets under management. Heebner announced he's seeking up to $5 billion to start his first hedge fund. In addition to earning more money – hedge funds get a cut of assets under management and performance – a hedge fund would grant Heebner more freedom to buy and sell all kinds of assets.
We believe few managers are worth what hedge funds cost and would caution against giving almost anyone your money under these terms. But Heebner might just be worth it. Click here to read Steve's take on Heebner.
Regards,
S&A Research
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Date Range:9/8/2008 to 9/13/2008
Date Range:9/8/2008 to 9/13/2008
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