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A "Second Chance" Trade That'll Make Your Year

By Jeff Clark
Tuesday, May 26, 2009

There's almost always a second chance to make a good trade. But there's rarely a third.
 
For example, oil was a good buy when I first wrote about it back in December. It was trading near $40 per barrel. Within a few days, oil was trading for just over $50 per barrel. Anyone who took the trade enjoyed a quick 25% gain.
 
If you hesitated, you might have missed out.
 
But like I said, there's almost always a second chance. The second chance to buy oil came just over one month later when it traded back down to about $40 per barrel and the chart started to look bullish. Once again, I told you to buy oil. And once again, the price moved higher.
 
Oil is now trading above $60 per barrel. That's a 50% gain in just a few months. Traders had two chances to get in cheap. They're not likely to see a third.
 
Fortunately, there's no shortage of trading opportunities on Wall Street. While the oil trade has come and gone, we now have a second chance to get into natural gas.
 
In fact, as good as oil looked back in January, natural gas looks even better today.
 
Natural gas was trading for $3.86 per British thermal unit (Btu) when I wrote about it last month. Within days, natural gas prices shot up nearly 20%. Anyone who took the trade had a chance at a terrific short-term profit.
 
Since then, natural gas prices have come right back down. Now, we have a second chance at this trade. Take a look at this chart...
 
 
Natural gas broke out of a bullish falling-wedge pattern in early May and exploded higher. It has come back down to retest the breakout level, and natural gas will probably fall a few more pennies from here.
 
But just as oil was a great "second chance" trade when it dropped back down to $40 per barrel in January, natural gas is a great second chance trade today below $4.
 
If you missed the natural gas trade last month, don't miss the chance to buy it today. It could be the best trade for the rest 2009.
 
Best regards and good trading,
 
Jeff Clark




Market Notes
Huge bull market in gold mining is just getting started... mining fund GDX jumps 10% in one week.
 
10-year Treasuries see worst week since January... investors are demanding much more interest.
 
Johnson & Johnson bids for Cougar... the cancer biotech spikes 16% on the offer.
 
Earnings today... Bank of Montreal, Borders, Canadian Solar, Take-Two Interactive.
Market Watch
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
S&P 500 1221.53 +1.28% +10.12%
Oil 38.31 +1.43% -0.55%
Gold 138.07 +2.12% +16.32%
Silver 28.60 +2.40% +53.60%
US-Dollar 80.67 -0.81% +8.09%
Euro 1.32 +0.64% -12.10%
Volatility 18.01 -7.12% -19.81%
Gold Stocks 581.56 +3.02% +17.04%
10-Year Yield 3.02 +0.67% -10.65%

World ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
USA 122.89 +0.27% +11.33%
Canada 30.50 +0.20% +16.19%
Russia 21.94 +1.43% +18.08%
India 37.85 +0.32% +22.33%
Israel 16.69 +1.34% +10.75%
Japan 10.64 +0.57% +6.51%
Singapore 13.73 -1.08% +18.77%
Taiwan 14.78 +0.41% +19.19%
S. Korea 57.31 +1.33% +23.38%
S. Africa 71.87 +1.44% +28.20%
China 44.42 -1.42% -0.58%
Lat.America 53.17 +0.66% +8.38%

Sector ETFs
Symbol Price
Change
52-Wk
Oil Service 137.59 +1.04% +18.94%
Big Pharma 64.14 +0.02% -3.24%
Internet 72.07 -0.08% +23.41%
Semis 16.22 +1.19% +29.35%
Utilities 31.28 +0.22% +1.46%
Defense 18.52 +0.05% +10.57%
Nanotech 10.03 +0.40% +1.62%
Alt. Energy 10.08 +1.31% -3.26%
Water 18.49 +0.98% +14.49%
Insurance 16.14 +0.44% +21.08%
Biotech 20.54 -0.19% +28.13%
Retail 19.70 +0.25% +30.20%
Software 24.79 +0.81% +25.90%
Big Tech 53.87 +0.26% +22.74%
Construction 13.10 +0.85% +15.72%
Media 13.64 +0.52% +25.95%
Consumer Svcs 67.39 +0.19% +24.54%
Financials 55.04 +0.31% +7.44%
Health Care 64.30 +0.12% +2.01%
Industrials 63.54 +0.46% +21.03%
Basic Mat 74.35 +1.06% +25.27%
Real Estate 55.32 +0.14% +25.02%
Transportation 91.77 +0.66% +26.93%
Telecom 22.59 +0.49% +17.78%

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